If Asked,"Which Is More Probable? A

Multiple Choice

If asked,"Which is more probable? A.Number one ranked golfer Luke Donald will not be in the lead after the first round of golf of a tournament but will win the tournament.B.Number one ranked golfer Luke Donald will not be in the lead after the first round of golf of a tournament." Most people would answer A,although A is less likely to be true than B.According to Tversky and Kahneman,such faulty conclusions are based on

A) the representativeness heuristic.
B) convergent thinking.
C) divergent thinking.
D) the framing effect.