THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION

Multiple Choice

THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE BASED ON THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION:
The table below is the data set of the number of preorders received for a particular game on a weekly basis.
The forecaster uses the Holt-Winters Exponential Smoothing for nonseasonal series to forecast the number of preorders in future time periods.
He uses α = 0.8 and β = 0.5.(Hint: Use the formula from the text to arrive at the answers. )

-In which component of the time series will the effect of an unpredictable,rare event be contained?

A) the trend component
B) the seasonal component
C) the cyclical component
D) the irregular component