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XYZ Is a Paint Product Manufacturer,and One of the Plants \quad

Question 61

Multiple Choice

XYZ is a paint product manufacturer,and one of the plants is experiencing a substantial increase in demand.The future demand for the products could be low,medium,or high,with probabilities estimated to be 25%,50%,and 30%,respectively.The company wants to determine the financial impact associated with the three decision alternatives under the varying levels of demand.Given the following payoff matrix,compute the EVPI. \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad \quad  Demand \text { Demand }
 De cision alternative Low(20%)  Medium (50%)   High (30%)  S ubcontract additional  capacity $7 million $40 million $70 million  Build a new plant $55 million $25 million $100 million  Do nothing $15 million $30 million $85 million \begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|}\hline \text { De cision alternative } & \mathbf{L o w}(20 \%) & \text { Medium (50\%) } & \text { High }(30 \%) \\\hline \begin{array}{c}\text { S ubcontract additional } \\\text { capacity }\end{array} & \$ 7 \text { million } & \$ 40 \text { million } & \$ 70 \text { million } \\\hline \text { Build a new plant } & -\$ 55 \text { million } & \$ 25 \text { million } & \$ 100 \text { million } \\\hline \text { Do nothing } & \$ 15 \text { million } & \$30 \text { million } & \$ 85 \text { million }\\\hline\end{array}


A) $9.5 M
B) $10 M
C) $12.4 M
D) $7 M

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