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Consider a Binomial Tree Setting in Which in Each Period U>1\mathcal { U } > 1

Question 21

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Consider a binomial tree setting in which in each period the price goes up by U>1\mathcal { U } > 1 (with probability pp ) or down by d<1d < 1 (with probability 1p1 - p ) .The risk-free interest rate per time step is zero,so a dollar invested at the beginning of the period returns a dollar at the end of the period. In this setting,let Q1Q _ { 1 } be the risk-neutral probability of a one-period at-the-money call finishing in-the-money.and let Q2Q _ { 2 } be the risk-neutral probability of a two-period at-the-money call finishing in-the-money.Which of the following is true?


A) Q1>q2Q _ { 1 } > q _ { 2 }
)
B) Q1<Q2Q _ { 1 } < Q _ { 2 }
)
C) Q1=Q2Q _ { 1 } = Q _ { 2 }
)
D) Depending on the parameters U\mathcal { U }
And
dd
,more than one of the above is possible.

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