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You Have the Following Information  today’s spot $.6850/CS6 months forward rate $.7100/C$\begin{array}{ll}\text { today's spot } & \$ .6850 / \mathrm{CS} \\6 \text { months forward rate } & \$ .7100 / \mathrm{C \$}\end{array}

Question 23

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You have the following information:
 today’s spot $.6850/CS6 months forward rate $.7100/C$\begin{array}{ll}\text { today's spot } & \$ .6850 / \mathrm{CS} \\6 \text { months forward rate } & \$ .7100 / \mathrm{C \$}\end{array}
expected inflation rate in the U.S.: 4% 4 \% p.a.
expected inflation rate in Canada: 2% 2 \% p.a.
nominal interest rate in the U.S: 6% 6 \% p.a. You are asked to forecast the spot exchange rate between the Canadian dollar and the U.S.dollar in six months.
a)What is your forecast based on purchasing power parity?
b)What is your forecast based on the forward expectations parity?
c)Based on the Fisher effect,what should be the real interest rate in Canada?
d)Why are the two forecasts in a and b different?

Correct Answer:

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a)0.685(1.02/1.01)= $0.6918/C$...

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