If Asked, "Which Is More Probable? A

Multiple Choice

If asked, "Which is more probable? A. Tiger Woods will not be in the lead after the first round of golf of a tournament but will win the tournament. B. Tiger Woods will not be in the lead after the first found of golf of a tournament." Most people would answer A, although A is less likely to be true than B. According to Tversky and Kahneman, such faulty conclusions are based on

A) the framing effect.
B) convergent thinking.
C) divergent thinking.
D) the representativeness heuristic.