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What Is the Expected Payoff for the Optimum Decision Alternative

Question 37

Multiple Choice

What is the expected payoff for the optimum decision alternative?


A) $150 million.
B) $90.6 million.
C) $84 million.
D) $72 million.
E) $60 million.
Two professors at a nearby university want to co-author a new textbook in either economics or statistics.They feel that if they write an economics book they have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies.If they can't get a major publisher to take it,then they feel they have an 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher,with sales of 30,000 copies.On the other hand if they write a statistics book,they feel they have a 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher,and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies.If they can't get a major publisher to take it,they feel they have a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher,with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies.

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