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The Management Believes That the Weather Conditions Significantly Impact the Level

Question 90

Multiple Choice

The management believes that the weather conditions significantly impact the level of demand and the estimated probabilities of poor weather conditions given different levels of demand is presented below.  P (Poor  High ) =.2, P(Poor  Medium ) =.5, P ( Poor  Low ) =.8\text { P (Poor } \mid \text { High } ) = .2 , \text { P(Poor } \mid \text { Medium } ) = .5 , \text { P } ( \text { Poor } \mid \text { Low } ) = .8

P(High) = 15/48,P(Medium) = 28/48,P(Low) = 5/48
What is the probability of high demand given that the weather conditions are poor?


A) 06
B) 44
C) 1429
D) 12
E) 1818

Correct Answer:

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