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At the Horse Racing Track,a Gambler Bets on the Wrong

Question 2

Multiple Choice

At the horse racing track,a gambler bets on the wrong horse in a 10-horse field nine times in a row.Later,when talking to a friend,he said he was confident that he would pick the winner the next time,because he was "due to pick a winner." Comment on his reasoning.


A) This is false reasoning because he doesn't appear to be lucky.
B) This is false reasoning because there is no Law of Averages for independent events.
C) When there are 10 horses in a race and he has chosen the wrong horse nine times in a row,he statistically should pick a winner the next time.
D) If he doesn't pick the winning horse the next time,he will shortly after that.
E) None of the above apply.

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