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Valentine's Day Is the Best Day of the Year for Selling

Question 66

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Valentine's Day is the best day of the year for selling roses at River Road Florist. Dozens of roses sold on Valentine's Day over six years are as follows:
 Year  Dozen 200510420061092007101200811420091042010100\begin{array}{|c|c|}\hline \text { Year } & \text { Dozen } \\\hline 2005 & 104 \\\hline 2006 & 109 \\\hline 2007 & 101 \\\hline 2008 & 114 \\\hline 2009 & 104 \\\hline 2010 & 100 \\\hline\end{array}
a.What is the forecast for Valentine's Day in 2011 using a three-period moving average?
b.What is the forecast for Valentine's Day in 2011 using a five-period moving average?
c.What is the mean absolute deviation (MAD) for years 2008-2010 using a three-period moving average?
d.What is the tracking signal for years 2008-2010 using a three-period moving average?

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The forecast for the next period (t + 1)...

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