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Dan Hein Owns the Mineral and Drilling Rights to a 1,000

Question 45

Multiple Choice

Dan Hein owns the mineral and drilling rights to a 1,000 hectare tract of land.If he drills a well and does not strike oil his net loss will be $50,000,but if he drills a well and strikes oil his net gain will be $100,000.If he does not drill,his loss is the cost of the mineral and drilling rights,which amount to $1000.For Dan's decision problem,the variable "oil in the tract" is one of the ___.


A) payoffs
B) decision alternatives
C) states of nature
D) revised probabilities
E) prior probabilities

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