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A Second-Order Autoregressive Model for Average Mortgage Rate Is

Question 177

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A second-order autoregressive model for average mortgage rate is:
Ratei = -2.0 + 1.8(Rate)i-1 - 0.5 (Rate)i-2
If the average mortgage rate in 2008 was 7.0,and in 2007 was 6.4,the forecast for 2009 is ________.

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