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Suppose That the One-Year and Two-Year Zero-Coupon Rates Are 6

Question 7

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Suppose that the one-year and two-year zero-coupon rates are 6% and 7%, respectively (assume continuous compounding) . After one year, let the one-year zero-coupon rate move down to 4% or up to 9%. What must be the probability of the up move for the rates to be arbitrage-free?


A) 0.20
B) 0.25
C) 0.50
D) 0.60

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