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A Noted Psychic Was Tested for Extrasensory Perception

Question 29

Multiple Choice

A noted psychic was tested for extrasensory perception.The psychic was presented with 200 cards face down and asked to determine if each card were one of five symbols: a star,a cross,a circle,a square,or three wavy lines.The psychic was correct in 50 cases.Let p represent the probability that the psychic correctly identifies the symbol on the card in a random trial.Assume the 200 trials can be treated as a simple random sample from the population of all guesses the psychic would make in his lifetime.How large a sample n would you need to estimate p with a margin of error of 0.01 with 95% confidence? Use the hypothesized value p = 0.20 as the value for p*.


A) n = 32
B) n = 1537
C) n = 6147
D) n = 9604

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