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Felicity Is Rolling a Die and Incredibly,she Ends Up Rolling

Question 257

Multiple Choice

Felicity is rolling a die and incredibly,she ends up rolling a six 8 times in a row.When asked about the likelihood that her 9?? throw will also be a six,she says that she has likely run out of those by now,and so she thinks it is very unlikely that she will throw another six (of course,Felicity is wrong; all tosses have a 1 in 6 chance of being a six) .What obstacle to problem solving is Felicity facing?


A) representativeness heuristic
B) availability heuristic
C) mental set
D) confirmation bias

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