Exam 18: Risk and Uncertainty

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There is only one possible market portfolio-the portfolio consisting of all the risky assets in the economy.

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A nuclear disaster is an uninsurable risk because it would adversely affect a large number of people simultaneously.

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Demand and Supply for Grapes The following tables show the demand and supply for grapes. Demand is uncertain, with D1 and D2 each occurring 50% of the time. Suppliers must base their decisions on the expected price and must sell all grapes they bring to the market at the going market price. Demand and Supply for Grapes  The following tables show the demand and supply for grapes. Demand is uncertain, with D1 and D2 each occurring 50% of the time. Suppliers must base their decisions on the expected price and must sell all grapes they bring to the market at the going market price.    -If suppliers have rational expectations,what will be their expected price of grapes? -If suppliers have rational expectations,what will be their expected price of grapes?

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A state lottery commission offers a new millionaire game - a one in a million chance to win one million dollars.If the price of a lottery ticket is $1.50,who would buy any?

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All points on a risk-neutral individual's indifference curve have the same expected value.

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Describe how a speculator can improve social welfare when he correctly anticipates that future demand will be higher than suppliers expect.

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The expected value of a basket with different outcomes is

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According to the law of large numbers,when a gamble is repeated many times,

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An uninsurable risk is one

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Even when econometric equations predict very well,they can be entirely useless as guides to policy.

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When a person is risk-preferring,his indifference curves are

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Suppose it is February,and a speculator believes that the demand for corn in March will be higher than everyone else expects.In this situation,the speculator will

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Consider the accompanying diagram,which shows an investor who can choose to hold the risky assets on the efficient set and/or the risk-free asset labeled R. Consider the accompanying diagram,which shows an investor who can choose to hold the risky assets on the efficient set and/or the risk-free asset labeled R.    Consider the accompanying diagram,which shows an investor who can choose to hold the risky assets on the efficient set and/or the risk-free asset labeled R.

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Consider a potato farmer whose cost of production is $2.25 a bushel.In May,she expects that the potato when harvested in July will sell for either $2 a bushel or $3.00.She could avoid the probability of a loss by contracting to deliver the potatoes in July at $2.50.Such a contract is traded in a

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A businessman is confronted with the following opportunity.He can invest $10,000 in a project that will either succeed wildly,fail miserably,or simply pay him back his $10,000.If wildly successful,the project will earn the businessman $110,000,but if it fails he will not get any money back. A businessman is confronted with the following opportunity.He can invest $10,000 in a project that will either succeed wildly,fail miserably,or simply pay him back his $10,000.If wildly successful,the project will earn the businessman $110,000,but if it fails he will not get any money back.

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Risk aversion leads individuals to underinvest from a social point of view.

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When a gamble is repeated many times,the average outcome is the expected value.

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When will speculators' actions raise social welfare?

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In popular usage the term investor is used to refer to

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Odds are said to be fair if they reflect the true probabilities of the various states of the world.

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