Exam 6: Risk and Project Appraisal

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Which technique considers a project's NPV under alternative assumed values of variables, changed one at a time?

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A sensitivity graph shows % deviation of the variable from expectation on the x- axis and NPV on the y- axis. Variables may be represented by straight lines on the graph. Which variable will have the largest negative effect on NPV?

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Which three of the following statements correctly relate to subjective probability?

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What would be the NPV of NewProduct if the discount rate was changed from 15 per cent to 18 per cent?

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Which three of the following are difficulties of real option analysis?

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If NewProduct prices could be increased by 10 per cent, while keeping sales levels at the original level, what would be the NPV?

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The expected return of Project Y is at least equal to the expected return of Project X, and the variance of Y is less than that of X. Using the mean variance rule, what would you do?

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A concert promoter assesses that the probability of a concert being a success is 0.4. The initial cash cost to take out an option to organise the concert will be £50,000. A success will create a present value of all cash flows of £250,000 and a flop will lose £100,000. The promoter can make a final decision at a later date before making any further payments. What is the expected NPV, using an options approach?

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