Exam 12: Cash Flow Estimation and Risk Analysis

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which one of the following would NOT result in incremental cash flows and thus should NOT be included in the capital budgeting analysis for a new product?

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Superior analytical techniques, such as NPV, used in combination with risk-adjusted cost of capital estimates, can overcome the problem of poor cash flow estimation and lead to generally correct accept/reject decisions for capital budgeting projects.

(True/False)
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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Since the focus of capital budgeting is on cash flows rather than on net income, changes in noncash balance sheet accounts such as inventory are not included in a capital budgeting analysis.

(True/False)
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A firm that bases its capital budgeting decisions on either NPV or IRR will be more likely to accept a given project if it uses accelerated depreciation than if it uses straight-line depreciation, other things being equal.

(True/False)
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As assistant to the CFO of Boulder Inc., you must estimate the Year 1 cash flow for a project with the following data. What is the Year 1 cash flow? Sales revenues \ 13,000 Depreciation \ 4,000 Other operating costs \ 6,000 Tax rate 35.0\% a. $5,950\$ 5,950 b. $6,099\$ 6,099 c. $6,251\$ 6,251 d. $6,407\$ 6,407 e. $6,568\$ 6,568

(Short Answer)
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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Currently, Powell Products has a beta of 1.0, and its sales and profits are positively correlated with the overall economy. The company estimates that a proposed new project would have a higher standard deviation and coefficient of variation than an average company project. Also, the new project's sales would be countercyclical in the sense that they would be high when the overall economy is down and low when the overall economy is strong. On the basis of this information, which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Taussig Technologies is considering two potential projects, X and Y. In assessing the projects' risks, the company estimated the beta of each project versus both the company's other assets and the stock market, and it also conducted thorough scenario and simulation analyses. This research produced the following data: Expected NPV \ 350,000 \ 350,000 Standard deviation \ 100,000 \ 150,000 Project beta (vs. market) 1.4 0.8 Correlation of the project cash Cash flows are not correlated Cash flows are highly flows with cash flows from with the cash flows from correlated with the cash flows currently existing projects existing projects from existing projects Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Opportunity costs include those cash inflows that could be generated from assets the firm already owns if those assets are not used for the project being evaluated.

(True/False)
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Suppose Tapley Inc. uses a WACC of 8% for below-average risk projects, 10% for average-risk projects, and 12% for above-average risk projects. Which of the following independent projects should Tapley accept, assuming that the company uses the NPV method when choosing projects?

(Multiple Choice)
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If a firm's projects differ in risk, then one way of handling this problem is to evaluate each project with the appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate.

(True/False)
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Aggarwal Enterprises is considering a new project that has a cost of $1,000,000, and the CFO set up the following simple decision tree to show its three most-likely scenarios. The firm could arrange with its work force and suppliers to cease operations at the end of Year 1 should it choose to do so, but to obtain this abandonment option, it would have to make a payment to those parties. How much is the option to abandon worth to the firm?  WACC =11.5% Dollars in Thousands  NPV This  Prob. ×\text { WACC }=11.5 \% \quad \quad \quad \text { Dollars in Thousands } \quad \quad \quad \quad\quad \quad \quad\text { NPV This } \quad \text { Prob. } \times Prob. =20 \% Prob. =60\% Prob. =20\% t=0 -\ 1,000 -\ 1,000 -\ 1,000 t=1 \ 800.0 \ 520.0 -\ 200.0 t=2 \ 800.0 \ 520.0 -\ 200.0 t=3 \ 800.0 \ 520.0 -\ 200.0 State \ \ 938.1 \ 259.8 -\ 1,454.5 Exp. NPV = \ 187.6 \ 155.9 a. $55.0\$ 55.0 b. $58.0\$ 58.0 c. $61.0\$ 61.0 d. $64.1\$ 64.1 e. $67.3\$ 67.3

(Short Answer)
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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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Marshall-Miller & Company is considering the purchase of a new machine for $50,000, installed. The machine has a tax life of 5 years, and it can be depreciated according to the depreciation rates below. The firm expects to operate the machine for 4 years and then to sell it for $12,500. If the marginal tax rate is 40%, what will the after-tax salvage value be when the machine is sold at the end of Year 4? Year Depreciation Rate 1 0.20 2 0.32 3 0.19 4 0.12 5 0.11 6 0.06

(Multiple Choice)
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Estimating project cash flows is generally the most important, but also the most difficult, step in the capital budgeting process. Methodology, such as the use of NPV versus IRR, is important, but less so than obtaining a reasonably accurate estimate of projects' cash flows.

(True/False)
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Rowell Company spent $3 million two years ago to build a plant for a new product. It then decided not to go forward with the project, so the building is available for sale or for a new product. Rowell owns the building free and clear-there is no mortgage on it. Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

(Multiple Choice)
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A company is considering a new project. The CFO plans to calculate the project's NPV by estimating the relevant cash flows for each year of the project's life (i.e., the initial investment cost, the annual operating cash flows, and the terminal cash flows), then discounting those cash flows at the company's overall WACC. Which one of the following factors should the CFO be sure to INCLUDE in the cash flows when estimating the relevant cash flows?

(Multiple Choice)
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