Exam 13: Business Cycles

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Comment of the nature of economic fluctuations in terms of their predictability.

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Economic fluctuations are irregular and unpredictable, as you can see by looking at a graph of real GDP over time.Some recessions are close together and others are far apart.There appears to be no recurring pattern.

Over the last 50 years, SA real GDP has grown at about 5 per cent per year.

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If you and your friends are still looking for a job eighteen months after graduation, even after lowering your wage expectations, you are probably in the _________ phase of the business cycle.

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In the real business cycle,

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Recessions do not last forever because

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Figure 1. Figure 1.    -Referring to Figure 1 there was a period of economic growth between which years? -Referring to Figure 1 there was a period of economic growth between which years?

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Marietjie maintains that she can predict when the economy is going to move up or down in a business cycle.In fact,

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Deterministic trends are

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According to the new classical model, what effects will a rise in aggregate demand have on a county's GDP?

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Use the information in table below to calculate the mean growth rate. Time series data collected over 30 years Highest Peak 7\% Next Trough -2\% Number of peaks and troughs 4 Sum of annual growth rates 75 Sum of annual positive growth rates 90

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A technical definition gives a recession occurring after six successive months of negative economic growth.

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What are the main causes of changes in the business cycle?

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Figure 1. Figure 1.    -Referring to Figure 1, the amplitude in the early 1970s was about: -Referring to Figure 1, the amplitude in the early 1970s was about:

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Which of the following best apply to when a peak occurs in a business cycle?

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Economists refer to fluctuations in output as the "business cycle" because movements in output are irregular and unpredictable.

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Which would cause SA firms to think about cutting back production?

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Procyclical is a variable that is above trend when GDP is above trend.

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What is meant by co-movement, and what are the relationships between key variables and GDP?

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Name two macroeconomic variables that decline when the economy goes into a recession.Name one macroeconomic variable that rises during a recession.

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What is meant by a leading indicator? Comment on the OECD data below showing an index of composite indicators for the OECD area. What is meant by a leading indicator? Comment on the OECD data below showing an index of composite indicators for the OECD area.

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