Exam 7: The Policy Analysis Process: Health Technology Assessment

Technological forecasts can differ based on the forecaster's particular biases.

Which of the following of Gilfillan's systematic levels of future causality tends to get the MOST attention?

Data indicates that the effectiveness of _____ appears to be improving over time.

Forecasting health care workforce requirements has:

Typically, which of the following processes would occur first?

Technology is unlikely to be widely adopted unless (a) it significantly improves cost or outcome and/or (b) it is less costly.

Markov models involve:

Which approach to modeling involves not manipulating mathematical data to generate future projections?

The booming industry Representative Houghton was referring to was:

More complex modeling techniques for forecasting are used when many factors are interacting.

Getting expert opinion seldom involves survey research.

Which of the following statements BEST describes organizations devoted to health care technology assessment in the United States?

Some health cost trends, such as inflation, are fairly predictable.

Moore's Law is a good example of the use of time-series analysis.

Which of the following forecasting methods is MOST likely to use a nominal group or Delphi technique to collect information?

One reason why technological forecasting can be difficult is that we tend to move forward despite our limited knowledge about the future.

Why is it especially crucial that technological forecasting in the health care industry be reliable?

Health technology assessment rarely needs to involve multiple disciplines.

Technological forecasts can differ based on the forecaster's:

It has been relatively easy to predict which health care technologies will be successes or failures.