Exam 10: Measuring Exposure to Exchange Rate Fluctuations

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A set of currency cash inflows is more volatile if the correlations are low.

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When the dollar strengthens,the reported consolidated earnings of U.S.based MNCs are _______ affected by translation exposure.When the dollar weakens,the reported consolidated earnings are __________ affected.

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In general,translation exposure is more closely monitored when the foreign earnings of the subsidiaries are more likely to be remitted to the parent.

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Assume that the British pound and Swiss franc are highly correlated.  A U.S.firm anticipates the equivalent of $1 million cash outflows in francs and the equivalent of $1 million cash outflows in pounds.  During a _______ cycle,the firm is _______ affected by its exposure.

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Which of the following is not a form of exposure to exchange rate fluctuations

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A company may become more exposed or sensitive to an individual currency's movements over time for several reasons,including a reduction in hedging,a greater involvement in the foreign country,or an increased use of the foreign currency.

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Firms with more in foreign costs than in foreign revenues will be favorably affected by a stronger foreign currency.

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Consider an MNC that is exposed to the Bulgarian lev (BGL)and the Romanian leu (ROL).30% of the MNC's funds are lev and 70% are leu.The standard deviation of exchange movements is 10% for lev and 15% for leu.The correlation coefficient between movements in the value of the lev and the leu is.85.Based on this information,the standard deviation of this two-currency portfolio is approximately:

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A firm's transaction exposure in any foreign currency is based solely on the size of its open position in that currency.

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Economic exposure can affect:

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Two highly negatively correlated currencies act almost as if they are the same currency.

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Under FASB 52,consolidated earnings are sensitive to the functional currency's weighted average exchange rate.

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Regression analysis cannot be used to assess the sensitivity of a company's performance to economic conditions because economic conditions are unpredictable.

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Subsidiary A of Mega Corporation has net inflows in Australian dollars of A$1,000,000,while Subsidiary B has net outflows in Australian dollars of A$1,500,000.The expected exchange rate of the Australian dollar is $.55.What is the net inflow or outflow as measured in U.S.dollars

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Cerra Co.expects to receive 5 million euros tomorrow as a result of selling goods to the Netherlands.Cerra estimates the standard deviation of daily percentage changes of the euro to be 1 percent over the last 100 days.Assume that these percentage changes are normally distributed.Using the value-at-risk (VAR)method based on a 95% confidence level,what is the maximum one-day loss in dollars if the expected percentage change of the euro tomorrow is 0.5% The current spot rate of the euro (before considering the maximum one-day loss)is $1.01.

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Diz Co.is a U.S.based MNC with net cash inflows of euros and net cash inflows of Swiss francs.  These two currencies are highly correlated in their movements against the dollar.  Yanta Co.is a U.S.based MNC that has the same level of net cash flows in these currencies as Diz Co.except that its euros represent net cash outflows.  Which firm has a higher exposure to exchange rate risk

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Dubas Co.is a U.S.-based MNC that has a subsidiary in Germany and another subsidiary in Greece.Both subsidiaries frequently remit their earnings back to the parent company.The German subsidiary generated a net outflow of €2,000,000 this year,while the Greek subsidiary generated a net inflow of €1,500,000.What is the net inflow or outflow as measured in U.S.dollars this year The exchange rate for the euro is $1.05.

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Transaction exposure reflects:

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The following regression model was run by a U.S.-based MNC to determine its degree of economic exposure as it relates to the Australian dollar and Sudanese dinar (SDD): PCFt=a0+a1et+μtP C F_{t}=a_{0}+a_{1} e_{t}+\mu_{t} where the term on the left-hand side is the percentage change in inflation-adjusted cash flows measured in the firm's home currency over period t t , and et e_{t} is the percentage change in the exchange rate of the currency over period t t . The regression was run over two subperiods for each of the two currencies, with the following results:  The following regression model was run by a U.S.-based MNC to determine its degree of economic exposure as it relates to the Australian dollar and Sudanese dinar (SDD):   P C F_{t}=a_{0}+a_{1} e_{t}+\mu_{t}   where the term on the left-hand side is the percentage change in inflation-adjusted cash flows measured in the firm's home currency over period   t  , and   e_{t}   is the percentage change in the exchange rate of the currency over period   t  . The regression was run over two subperiods for each of the two currencies, with the following results:   Based on these results,which of the following statements is probably not true? Based on these results,which of the following statements is probably not true?

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Jacko Co.is a U.S.based MNC with net cash inflows of Singapore dollars and net cash inflows of Sunland francs.  These two currencies are highly negatively correlated in their movements against the dollar.  Kriner Co.is a U.S.based MNC that has the same exposure as Jacko Co.in these currencies,except that its Sunland francs represent cash outflows.  Which firm has a high exposure to exchange rate risk

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