Exam 12: Ex Post Facto Research
When two matched groups are drawn from different populations, regression toward the original population means will be expected to create
D
Exhibit 12-4: An investigator found that the proportion of graduates of private high schools who are admitted to prestigious colleges is much higher than the proportion of public high school graduates whom these colleges admit.The investigator might conclude that private high schools do a better job-preparing students for college.Or, and investigator could propose many other hypotheses.Choose the correct hypothesis.
-Refer to Exhibit 12-4.Which of the following is a hypothesis of common cause?
A
How can partial correlation analysis of covariance provide partial control in an ex post facto study?
Partial correlation analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) is a statistical technique that can be used to provide partial control over confounding variables in an ex post facto study, which is a research design where the researcher cannot directly manipulate the independent variable but can only observe the variables as they naturally occur.
In an ex post facto study, researchers are often interested in understanding the relationship between an independent variable (IV) and a dependent variable (DV), while accounting for the potential influence of one or more extraneous variables, also known as covariates. These covariates may be related to both the IV and the DV and can potentially confound the observed relationship.
Partial correlation analysis of covariance helps to statistically control for the influence of these covariates. Here's how it provides partial control:
1. **Statistical Control**: By including covariates in the analysis, ANCOVA statistically adjusts the DV for each participant as if all participants had the same value on the covariates. This process is known as "holding constant" the covariates, and it allows the researcher to isolate the unique contribution of the IV on the DV.
2. **Reducing Error Variance**: By accounting for covariates that contribute to the variability in the DV, ANCOVA can reduce error variance. This increases the statistical power of the study, making it easier to detect a true effect of the IV on the DV if one exists.
3. **Estimating Adjusted Means**: ANCOVA provides adjusted means for each level of the IV, which represent the average value of the DV if all groups were equal on the covariate(s). This allows for a clearer comparison of the IV's effect on the DV, free from the influence of the covariates.
4. **Testing for Homogeneity of Regression Slopes**: Before conducting ANCOVA, it's important to test whether the relationship between the covariates and the DV is the same across all levels of the IV (homogeneity of regression slopes). If this assumption is met, it suggests that the covariate's effect is consistent, and the adjustment will be appropriate.
5. **Interpreting Adjusted Relationships**: After controlling for covariates, the partial correlation or the partial effect size indicates the strength and direction of the relationship between the IV and the DV, independent of the covariates. This provides a more accurate estimate of the relationship that is of interest to the researcher.
It's important to note that while ANCOVA can provide partial control for observed covariates, it cannot account for unmeasured or unknown confounders. Therefore, even with the use of ANCOVA, causal inferences in ex post facto studies should be made with caution. Additionally, the proper application of ANCOVA requires that certain assumptions be met, such as linearity, homoscedasticity, and the absence of multicollinearity among covariates.
In summary, partial correlation analysis of covariance offers a valuable tool for researchers conducting ex post facto studies to statistically control for the influence of covariates, thereby providing a clearer understanding of the relationship between the independent and dependent variables.
Exhibit 12-5: A researcher obtains chemistry achievement test scores from a group of high school students who have had laboratory experience and a group who have not.She recognizes the need to control for the variable intelligence in his study.Identify the type of control technique illustrated by the following procedures.
-Refer to Exhibit 12-5.The researcher enters the IQ scores into her analysis to determine both main and interaction effects of IQ and lab experiences.
How does the use of homogeneous groups influence external validity?
The most important reason for choosing an ex post facto design rather than an experimental design is when
Explain why the Surgeon General's report on the relationship between smoking and lung cancer is classified as ex post facto?
Which of the following statements best describes the use of the two strategies mentioned above?
The experimental approach to research starts with groups that are ____ on significant variables, while the ex post facto approach starts with groups that are ____ on significant variables.
Causal-comparative or ex post facto research is widely used because
A major difference between experimental research and ex post facto research is that
Why is matching students from two different populations a bad strategy?
Explain and give an example of how the use of homogeneous groups can influence internal validity?
One can rule out the possibility of reverse causality if one can establish that
Exhibit 12-3: In a study of the membership of the most influential business persons' organization in River City, it was found that the proportion of those who are also members of the Buffalo Honorary Club (BHC) is much higher than the portion of BHC members in the general city population.One might conclude that participation in BHC activities is a positive influence in leading people to become successful businesspersons or a number of alternative hypotheses could be suggested.Choose the correct hypothesis for each question.
-Refer to Exhibit 12-3.Which is a hypothesis of common cause?
Exhibit 12-1: Indicate whether the following hypotheses are necessarily ex post facto research or possible to perform with experimental research.
-Refer to Exhibit 12-1.Hyperactive children report enjoying sugar treats more than non-hyperactive children.
High school graduates have a higher average income than those who did not graduate from high school.In this situation we can rule out:
Exhibit 12-6: In an ex post facto study, a researcher investigated the effect of academic self-concept on school achievement.He concluded that a more positive self-concept leads to higher achievement in school.Label the following plausible alternative hypotheses as common cause, reverse causality, or other independent variables may be operating.
-Refer to Exhibit 12-6.Higher school achievement leads to a more positive academic self-concept.
Because of the limitations of ex post facto research, it should
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