Exam 20: Uncertainty and Information

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Moral hazard typically occurs because

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Suppose Nara could invest her $1000 in a savings account or she could invest in the stock market. After one year, the savings account has a guaranteed 5 percent interest rate and the stock market has a 10 percent chance of tripling her money, and 90 percent chance of losing it all. What is the difference in Nara's expected wealth between these two options?

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  -Dana's utility of wealth is 65 units at $3,000, 80 units at $5,000, and 95 units at $9,000. Starting from zero wealth, he must choose between options A and B. Option A gives him $5,000 for sure. Option B gives him $3,000 with probability 0.5 or $9,000 with probability 0.5. Dana will -Dana's utility of wealth is 65 units at $3,000, 80 units at $5,000, and 95 units at $9,000. Starting from zero wealth, he must choose between options A and B. Option A gives him $5,000 for sure. Option B gives him $3,000 with probability 0.5 or $9,000 with probability 0.5. Dana will

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Explain the concept of moral hazard. Give an example.

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In the market for automobile insurance, adverse selection implies that

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  -James has a utility of wealth schedule in the above table. He is offered a job selling video games at Games Galore. James' compensation depends on how much he sells. In a poor sales period, a salesperson makes $100 per month. In a good sales period, a salesperson makes $600 per month. James is told by the manager that, in any given month, there is a 25 percent chance of a poor sales period and a 75 percent chance of a good sales period. What is James' expected utility from taking this job? -James has a utility of wealth schedule in the above table. He is offered a job selling video games at Games Galore. James' compensation depends on how much he sells. In a poor sales period, a salesperson makes $100 per month. In a good sales period, a salesperson makes $600 per month. James is told by the manager that, in any given month, there is a 25 percent chance of a poor sales period and a 75 percent chance of a good sales period. What is James' expected utility from taking this job?

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Pirates have been intensely attacking ships off the shore of Somalia this year. Boat owners have reportedly coughed up more than $30 million in ransom and insurance premiums have shot up. The pirate activity means that the expected utility of wealth of risk averse boat owners who do not have insurance and sail near Somalia is ________.

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Paying salespeople a fixed wage contract, one in which income does not depend on the volume of sales, avoids

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If you have private information that you are a safer driver than your record indicates, you are likely to buy an insurance policy with

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  -Beachcomber Beatrice spent her entire wealth of $100,000 to build a beach house on the Gulf of Mexico. There is a 10 percent chance that the house will be destroyed by a hurricane. Beatrice's utility of wealth schedule is given in the table above. What is the maximum amount that Beatrice would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that pays $100,000 if her beach house is destroyed by a hurricane? -Beachcomber Beatrice spent her entire wealth of $100,000 to build a beach house on the Gulf of Mexico. There is a 10 percent chance that the house will be destroyed by a hurricane. Beatrice's utility of wealth schedule is given in the table above. What is the maximum amount that Beatrice would be willing to pay for an insurance policy that pays $100,000 if her beach house is destroyed by a hurricane?

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  -Beachcomber Beatrice spent her entire wealth of $100,000 to build a beach house on the Gulf of Mexico. There is a 10 percent chance that the house will be totally destroyed by a hurricane. Beatrice's utility of wealth schedule is given in the table above. What is Beatrice's expected wealth? -Beachcomber Beatrice spent her entire wealth of $100,000 to build a beach house on the Gulf of Mexico. There is a 10 percent chance that the house will be totally destroyed by a hurricane. Beatrice's utility of wealth schedule is given in the table above. What is Beatrice's expected wealth?

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  -Nick has two job offers, one as a financial planner and one as an economist for a regional bank. The income that Nick would expect to earn as a financial planner depends how effective he is in getting clients. He estimates that he would receive either $80,000 and a utility of 75, with a probability of .50, or he would earn $30,000 and a utility of 35, with a probability of .50. The economist job would pay $45,000 per year and has a utility of 55. To maximize his expected utility, which job should Nick take? -Nick has two job offers, one as a financial planner and one as an economist for a regional bank. The income that Nick would expect to earn as a financial planner depends how effective he is in getting clients. He estimates that he would receive either $80,000 and a utility of 75, with a probability of .50, or he would earn $30,000 and a utility of 35, with a probability of .50. The economist job would pay $45,000 per year and has a utility of 55. To maximize his expected utility, which job should Nick take?

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  -Andrew has the utility of wealth curve shown in the above figure. He owns an SUV worth $30,000, and that is his only wealth. There is a 10 percent chance that he will have an accident within a year. If he does have an accident, his SUV is worthless. Andrew would have the same expected utility as he currently has if his wealth was ________ and he faced no uncertainty. -Andrew has the utility of wealth curve shown in the above figure. He owns an SUV worth $30,000, and that is his only wealth. There is a 10 percent chance that he will have an accident within a year. If he does have an accident, his SUV is worthless. Andrew would have the same expected utility as he currently has if his wealth was ________ and he faced no uncertainty.

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Insurance works because

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Ashwini is thinking of buying travel insurance (which pays her if she needs to cancel her trip) for her trip to Cancun over spring break. There is a 5 percent chance that she will need to cancel her trip. Without insurance she would lose the full $2,000 price of the trip; with insurance she would get a full refund of $2,000. The premium for this insurance is $105. Which of the following is CORRECT? I. The expected value of Ashwini's loss is $100. II) If Ashwini is risk averse she is willing to buy the insurance only if its price is less than $100.

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If reckless drivers are more likely than safe drivers to buy automobile insurance, then a moral hazard problem has occurred.

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Pirates have been intensely attacking ships off the shore of Somalia this year. Boat owners have reportedly coughed up more than $30 million in ransom and insurance premiums have shot up. The pirate activity and increase in premiums means that the expected wealth of boat owners who sail near Somalia is ________.

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Which of the following statements is CORRECT?

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  -Andrew's utility of wealth schedule is depicted in the above table. Andrew is offered a job as a cook which pays $10,000. He is also offered a job as a server which will pay $5,000 if tips are poor and $15,000 if tips are good. There is a 50 percent chance that tips will be poor and a 50 percent chance that tips will be good. Andrew will accept the offer that -Andrew's utility of wealth schedule is depicted in the above table. Andrew is offered a job as a cook which pays $10,000. He is also offered a job as a server which will pay $5,000 if tips are poor and $15,000 if tips are good. There is a 50 percent chance that tips will be poor and a 50 percent chance that tips will be good. Andrew will accept the offer that

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  -Ashton has the utility of wealth curve shown in the above figure. He owns a sports car worth $30,000, and that is his only wealth. Ashton is a careless driver and there is a 30 percent chance that he will have an accident within a year. If he does have an accident, his car is worthless. What is Ashton's expected wealth? -Ashton has the utility of wealth curve shown in the above figure. He owns a sports car worth $30,000, and that is his only wealth. Ashton is a careless driver and there is a 30 percent chance that he will have an accident within a year. If he does have an accident, his car is worthless. What is Ashton's expected wealth?

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