Exam 31: Reduced-Form Models of Default Risk

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The average default rate in the economy is 1.5% of the face value of outstanding debt defaults per year.How many years will it be on average before half the firms are no longer in existence if no new firms enter the economy?

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The average default rate in the economy is 1.5% of the face value of outstanding debt defaults per year.What is the average time between defaults if there are 1000 firms alive on average?

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Suppose the default intensity of a firm is 0.10.What is the five-year survival probability of the firm closest to?

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