Exam 11: Time and Uncertainty

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The present value of $300,000 in 12 years at 4 percent interest is approximately:

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Someone who is risk-averse is likely to:

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A

Suppose Jack and Kate are at the town fair and are choosing which game to play.The first game has a bag with four marbles in it-1 red marble and 3 blue ones.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20 and if it is blue,they win $1.The second game has a bag with 10 marbles in it-1 red,4 blue,and 5 green.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20; if it is blue,they win $5; and if it is green,they win $1.Both games cost $5 to play.Kate is considering whether to play the second game.If Kate only cares about the expected value of the outcome and does not care about risk,she should:

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Insurance premiums represent:

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Matty and Rudy are the same age,live in the same town,and hold similar jobs a similar distance from their respective homes.They are so similar,in fact,that to the insurance company,they look the same and are offered the same insurance options.However,Matty has never been a particularly good driver and so buys a lot of auto insurance.Rudy,on the other hand,takes pride in being an excellent driver and so only carries the minimum insurance required.This example illustrates the potential for :

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Diversification:

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Which of the following is closest to the future value of a $40,000 deposit earning 3 percent interest annually after 5 years?

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When people are deciding whether to deposit money in a bank:

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Risk pooling occurs when:

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Diversification involves:

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Buying insurance and then never making a claim:

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Suppose Jack and Kate are at the town fair and are choosing which game to play.The first game has a bag with four marbles in it-1 red marble and 3 blue ones.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20 and if it is blue,they win $1.The second game has a bag with 10 marbles in it-1 red,4 blue,and 5 green.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20; if it is blue,they win $5; and if it is green,they win $1.Both games cost $5 to play.What is the probability of drawing a red marble in each game?

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Which of the following is closest to the future value of a $4,000 deposit earning 2 percent interest annually after 10 years?

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Evaluating risk requires that:

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If you want to own $1 million when you retire in 45 years,how much should you put into your retirement fund now,given the interest rate is 3 percent?

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John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not.If he continues his business as it is,with no expansion,there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will earn $300,000.If he does expand,there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000,a 30 percent chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000.It will cost him $150,000 to expand.If John were to expand,which of the following is true?

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Suppose Jack and Kate are at the town fair and are choosing which game to play.The first game has a bag with four marbles in it-1 red marble and 3 blue ones.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20 and if it is blue,they win $1.The second game has a bag with 10 marbles in it-1 red,4 blue,and 5 green.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20; if it is blue,they win $5; and if it is green,they win $1.Both games cost $5 to play.The expected value of the payoff is _____ for the first game and _____ for the second game.

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If you knew that an investment was going to pay you $215,892.50 in 10 years,and you knew that the annual interest rate over that time would be 8 percent,you could calculate the present value to be:

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A mechanism for reallocating risk is:

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In the context of insurance,everyone typically has to pay a higher premium because of:

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