Exam 11: Time and Uncertainty

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Calculating expected value involves:

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In making decisions about insurance,a crucial piece of information to know is:

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Knowing how to translate between present and future value can be useful when:

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If you knew that an investment was going to pay you $1,188,757 in 20 years,and you knew that the annual interest rate over that time would be 2 percent,you could calculate the present value to be:

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Risk is:

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In terms of insurance,which of the following statements is explained by adverse selection?

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If you knew that an investment was going to pay you $128 in 5 years,and you knew that the annual interest rate over that time would be 5 percent,you could calculate the present value to be:

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Suppose Jack and Kate are at the town fair and are choosing which game to play.The first game has a bag with four marbles in it-1 red marble and 3 blue ones.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20 and if it is blue,they win $1.The second game has a bag with 10 marbles in it-1 red,4 blue,and 5 green.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20; if it is blue,they win $5; and if it is green,they win $1.Both games cost $5 to play.Kate decides to play the second game.Her probability of pulling out a green marble is:

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Suppose Jack and Kate are at the town fair and are choosing which game to play.The first game has a bag with four marbles in it-1 red marble and 3 blue ones.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20 and if it is blue,they win $1.The second game has a bag with 10 marbles in it-1 red,4 blue,and 5 green.The player draws one marble from the bag; if it is red,they win $20; if it is blue,they win $5; and if it is green,they win $1.Both games cost $5 to play.If Jack only cares about expected value,and not risk,he should decide to play a game if:

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Risk aversion:

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John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not.If he continues his business as it is,with no expansion,there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will earn $300,000.If he does expand,there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000,a 30 percent chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000.It will cost him $150,000 to expand.To make the best decision,John should compare:

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Risk diversification refers to the process by which:

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Compounding is:

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Economists believe that people are:

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John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not.If he continues his business as it is,with no expansion,there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will earn $300,000.If he does expand,there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000,a 30 percent chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000.It will cost him $150,000 to expand.The difference in expected earnings if John chooses to expand versus not expand is:

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The value of a loan of $50,000 after a year at 2 percent interest is:

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The amount of interest owed on a loan of $75,000 after a year at an interest rate of 1 percent is:

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Insurance companies try to mitigate the problem of adverse selection by:

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Risk-seeking behavior:

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John is trying to decide whether to expand his business or not.If he continues his business as it is,with no expansion,there is a 50 percent chance he will earn $100,000 and a 50 percent chance he will earn $300,000.If he does expand,there is a 30 percent chance he will earn $100,000,a 30 percent chance he will earn $300,000 and a 40 percent chance he will earn $500,000.It will cost him $150,000 to expand.The expected value of John's earnings if he chooses to expand is:

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