Exam 6: International Parity Relationships and Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates

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Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)theory states that

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D

Suppose that the annual interest rate is 2.0 percent in the United States and 4 percent in Germany,and that the spot exchange rate is $1.60/€ and the forward exchange rate,with one-year maturity,is $1.58/€.Assume that an arbitrager can borrow up to $1,000,000 or €625,000.If an astute trader finds an arbitrage,what is the net cash flow in one year?

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D

Interest Rate Parity (IRP)is best defined as

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C

Will an arbitrageur facing the following prices be able to make money? Will an arbitrageur facing the following prices be able to make money?

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Assume that you are a retail customer Assume that you are a retail customer   Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward ASK exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer. Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward ASK exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer.

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In view of the fact that PPP is the manifestation of the law of one price applied to a standard commodity basket,

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Assume that you are a retail customer (i.e. you buy at the ask and sell at the bid). Assume that you are a retail customer (i.e. you buy at the ask and sell at the bid).   Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you had borrowed $1,000,000 and traded for euro at the spot rate,how many € do you receive? Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you had borrowed $1,000,000 and traded for euro at the spot rate,how many € do you receive?

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  Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you borrowed €1,000,000 for one year,how much money would you owe at maturity? Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you borrowed €1,000,000 for one year,how much money would you owe at maturity?

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  Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward exchange rate in $ per € that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer that borrowed $1m traded for € at the spot and invested at i<sub>€</sub> = 3%. Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward exchange rate in $ per € that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer that borrowed $1m traded for € at the spot and invested at i = 3%.

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According to the monetary approach,the exchange rate can be expressed as

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Assume that you are a retail customer (i.e. you buy at the ask and sell at the bid). Assume that you are a retail customer (i.e. you buy at the ask and sell at the bid).   Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you borrowed €1,000,000 for one year,how much money would you owe at maturity? Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you borrowed €1,000,000 for one year,how much money would you owe at maturity?

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As of today,the spot exchange rate is €1.00 = $1.60 and the rates of inflation expected to prevail for the next year in the U.S.is 2% and 3% in the euro zone.What is the one-year forward rate that should prevail?

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USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward exchange rate in $ per € that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer that borrowed $1m traded for € at the spot and invested at i = 4%.

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Assume that you are a retail customer Assume that you are a retail customer   Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you borrowed $1,000,000 for one year,how much money would you owe at maturity? Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -If you borrowed $1,000,000 for one year,how much money would you owe at maturity?

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How high does the lending rate in the euro zone have to be before an arbitrageur would NOT consider borrowing dollars,trading for euro at the spot,investing in the euro zone and hedging with a short position in the forward contract? How high does the lending rate in the euro zone have to be before an arbitrageur would NOT consider borrowing dollars,trading for euro at the spot,investing in the euro zone and hedging with a short position in the forward contract?

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Suppose that the one-year interest rate is 5.0 percent in the United States and 3.5 percent in Germany,and that the spot exchange rate is $1.12/€ and the one-year forward exchange rate,is $1.16/€.Assume that an arbitrageur can borrow up to $1,000,000.

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Assume that you are a retail customer Assume that you are a retail customer   Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward BID exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer. Please note that your answers are worth zero points if they do not include currency symbols ($, €) -USING YOUR PREVIOUS ANSWERS and a bit more work,find the 1-year forward BID exchange rate in $ per € that that satisfies IRP from the perspective of a customer.

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Which of the following is a true statement?

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If the interest rate in the U.S.is i$ = 5 percent for the next year and interest rate in the U.K.is i£ = 8 percent for the next year,uncovered IRP suggests that

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Suppose you observe a spot exchange rate of $1.50/€.If interest rates are 5% APR in the U.S.and 3% APR in the euro zone,what is the no-arbitrage 1-year forward rate?

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