Exam 14: Time Series Analysis
Exam 1: Overview of Statistics52 Questions
Exam 2: Data Collection111 Questions
Exam 3: Describing Data Visually108 Questions
Exam 4: Descriptive Statistics150 Questions
Exam 5: Probability123 Questions
Exam 6: Discrete Probability Distributions126 Questions
Exam 7: Continuous Probability Distributions120 Questions
Exam 8: Sampling Distributions and Estimation106 Questions
Exam 9: One-Sample Hypothesis Tests147 Questions
Exam 10: Two-Sample Hypothesis Tests113 Questions
Exam 11: Analysis of Variance126 Questions
Exam 12: Simple Regression135 Questions
Exam 13: Multiple Regression130 Questions
Exam 14: Time Series Analysis114 Questions
Exam 15: Chi-Square Tests99 Questions
Exam 16: Nonparametric Tests85 Questions
Exam 17: Quality Management108 Questions
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A quadratic trend equation was estimated from monthly sales of trucks in the United States from July 2006 to July 2011. The estimated trend is yt = 106 + 1.03t + 0.048t2, where yt units are in thousands. From this trend, how many trucks would be sold in July 2012?
(Multiple Choice)
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Increasing the smoothing constant α increases the weight assigned to the most recent observation.
(True/False)
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The shape of the fitted exponential model yt = 256e-.07t is always declining.
(True/False)
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Regression analysis can be used for forecasting monthly time-series data using a trend variable and 11 binary predictors (one for each month except omitting one month).
(True/False)
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A trend line has been fitted to a company's annual sales. The trend is given by yt = 50 + 5t, where t is the time index (t = 1, 2, …, n) and yt is annual sales (in millions of dollars). The implication of this trend line is:
(Multiple Choice)
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Using the first observed data value is a common way of initializing the forecasts in the exponential smoothing model.
(True/False)
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If the fitted annual trend for a stock price is yt = 27e0.213t, then:
(Multiple Choice)
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A quadratic trend equation yt = 900 + 80t - 5t2 was fitted to a company's sales. This result implies that the sales trend:
(Multiple Choice)
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The shape of the fitted quadratic model yt = 324 - 42t - 1.3t2 is declining, then rising.
(True/False)
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The fitted annual sales trend is Yt = 187.3e-.047t. On average, sales are:
(Multiple Choice)
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If we fit a linear trend to 10 observations on time-series data that are growing exponentially, then it is most likely that:
(Multiple Choice)
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Moving averages are most useful for irregular data with no clear trend.
(True/False)
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The shape of the fitted exponential model yt = 256e-.07t is rising at first, then declining.
(True/False)
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