Exam 16: Multiple Regression Model Building
Exam 1: Introduction and Data Collection131 Questions
Exam 2: Presenting Data in Tables and Charts178 Questions
Exam 3: Numerical Descriptive Measures148 Questions
Exam 4: Basic Probability146 Questions
Exam 5: Some Important Discrete Probability Distributions169 Questions
Exam 6: The Normal Distribution and Other Continuous Distributions187 Questions
Exam 7: Sampling Distributions183 Questions
Exam 8: Confidence Interval Estimation176 Questions
Exam 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests167 Questions
Exam 10: Hypothesis Testing: Two Sample Tests160 Questions
Exam 11: Analysis of Variance141 Questions
Exam 12: Simple Linear Regression196 Questions
Exam 13: Introduction to Multiple Regression256 Questions
Exam 14: Time-Series Forecasting and Index Numbers203 Questions
Exam 15: Chi-Square Tests135 Questions
Exam 16: Multiple Regression Model Building92 Questions
Exam 17: Decision Making111 Questions
Exam 18: Statistical Applications in Quality and Productivity Management127 Questions
Exam 19: Further Non-Parametric Tests51 Questions
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Collinearity will result in excessively low standard errors of the parameter estimates reported in the regression output.
(True/False)
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The parameter estimates are biased when collinearity is present in a multiple regression equation.
(True/False)
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The stepwise regression approach takes into consideration all possible models.
(True/False)
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Instruction 16-5
A chemist employed by a pharmaceutical firm has developed a muscle relaxant.She took a sample of 14 people suffering from extreme muscle constriction.She gave each a vial containing a dose (X)of the drug and recorded the time to relief (Y)measured in seconds for each.She fit a quadratic model to this data.The results obtained by Microsoft Excel follow.
SUMMARY output Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.747 R Square 0.558 Adj. R Square 0.478 Std. Error 363.1 Observations 14 ANOVA df SS MS F Signưf F Regression 2 10344797 5172399 6.94 0.0110 Residual 11 8193929 744903 Total 13 18538726 Coeff StdErior Stat P -value Intercept 1283.0 352.0 3.65 0.0040 CenDose 25.228 3.631 2.92 0.0140 CenDoseSq 0.8604 0.3722 2.31 0.0410 Note: Adj.R Square = Adjusted R Square;Std.Error = Standard Error
-Referring to Instruction 16-5,suppose the chemist decides to use a t test to determine if there is a significant difference between a linear model and a quadratic curvilinear model that includes a linear term.The p-value of the test statistic for the contribution of the quadratic curvilinear term is ________.
(Short Answer)
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Instruction 16-3
In Hawaii,condemnation proceedings are under way to enable private citizens to own the property upon which their homes are built.Until recently,only estates were permitted to own land,and homeowners leased the land from the estate.In order to comply with the new law,a large Hawaiian estate wants to use regression analysis to estimate the fair market value of the land.The following model was fit to data collected for n = 20 properties,10 of which are located near a
cove.Model 1: Y = β 0 + β 1X1 + β 2X2 + β 3X1X2 + β 4+ β 5X2 + ε where
Y = Sale price of property in thousands of dollars
X1 = Size of property in thousands of square metres
X2 = 1 if property located near cove,0 if not
Using the data collected for the 20 properties,the following partial output obtained from Microsoft Excel is shown:
SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.985 R Square 0.970 Std. Error 9.5 Observations 20 ANOVA df SS MS F Signif F Regression 5 28324 5664 62.2 0.0001 Residual 14 1279 91 Total 19 29603 Coeff StdError t stat P-Value Intercept -32.1 35.7 -0.90 0.3834 Size 12.2 5.9 2.05 0.0594 Cove -104.3 53.5 -1.95 0.0715 Size Cove 17.0 8.5 1.99 0.0661 SizeSq -0.3 0.2 -1.28 0.2204 SizeSq -0.3 0.3 -1.13 0.2749 Note: Std.Error = Standard Error
-Referring to Instruction 16-3,is the overall model statistically adequate at a 0.05 level of significance for predicting sale price (Y)?
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 16-6
Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no).
The coefficient of multiple determination (R2j)the regression model using each of the 6 variables Xj as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively,0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993.
The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:
Model R Square Adj. R Square Std. Error X1X5Х6 0.4568 0.4116 18.3534 \times1\times2\times5\times6 0.4697 0.4091 18.3919 \times1\times3\times5\times6 0.4691 0.4084 18.4023 \times1\times2\times3\times5\times6 0.4877 0.4123 18.3416 \times1\times2\times3\times4\times5\times6 0.4949 0.4030 18.4861
-Referring to Instruction 16-6,the variable X6 should be dropped to remove collinearity.
(True/False)
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Instruction 16-2
A certain type of rare gem serves as a status symbol for many of its owners.In theory,for low prices,the demand decreases as the price of the gem increases.However,experts hypothesise that when the gem is valued at very high prices,the demand increases with price due to the status owners believe they gain in obtaining the gem.Thus,the model proposed to best explain the demand for the gem by its price is the quadratic model:
Y = β0 + β1X + β2X2 + ε
where Y = demand (in thousands)and X = retail price per carat.
This model was fit to data collected for a sample of 12 rare gems of this type.A portion of the computer analysis obtained from Microsoft Excel is shown below:
SUMMARY output Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.994 R Square 0.988 Std. Error 12.42 Observations 12 ANOVA dff SS MS F Siguif F Regression 2 115145 57573 373 0.0001 Residual 9 1388 154 Total 11 116533 Coeff StdError t Stat P-Value Intercept 286.42 9.66 29.64 0.0001 Price -0.31 0.06 -5.14 0.0006 Price Sq p.000067 p.00007 p.95 p.3647 Note: Std.Error = Standard Error
-Referring to Instruction 16-2,a more parsimonious simple linear model is likely to be statistically superior to the fitted curvilinear for predicting sale price (Y).
(True/False)
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The goals of model building are to find a good model with the fewest independent variables that is easier to interpret and has lower probability of collinearity.
(True/False)
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Which of the following is used to determine observations that have influential effect on the fitted model?
(Multiple Choice)
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A regression diagnostic tool used to study the possible effects of collinearity is
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 16-2
A certain type of rare gem serves as a status symbol for many of its owners.In theory,for low prices,the demand decreases as the price of the gem increases.However,experts hypothesise that when the gem is valued at very high prices,the demand increases with price due to the status owners believe they gain in obtaining the gem.Thus,the model proposed to best explain the demand for the gem by its price is the quadratic model:
Y = β0 + β1X + β2X2 + ε
where Y = demand (in thousands)and X = retail price per carat.
This model was fit to data collected for a sample of 12 rare gems of this type.A portion of the computer analysis obtained from Microsoft Excel is shown below:
SUMMARY output Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.994 R Square 0.988 Std. Error 12.42 Observations 12 ANOVA dff SS MS F Siguif F Regression 2 115145 57573 373 0.0001 Residual 9 1388 154 Total 11 116533 Coeff StdError t Stat P-Value Intercept 286.42 9.66 29.64 0.0001 Price -0.31 0.06 -5.14 0.0006 Price Sq p.000067 p.00007 p.95 p.3647 Note: Std.Error = Standard Error
-Referring to Instruction 16-2,does the quadratic term appear to be significant in the response curve relating the demand (Y)and the price (X)at 10% level of significance?
(Multiple Choice)
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In stepwise regression,an independent variable is not allowed to be removed from the model once it has entered into the model.
(True/False)
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Instruction 16-6
Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no).
The coefficient of multiple determination (R2j)the regression model using each of the 6 variables Xj as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively,0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993.
The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:
Model R Square Adj. R Square Std. Error X1X5Х6 0.4568 0.4116 18.3534 \times1\times2\times5\times6 0.4697 0.4091 18.3919 \times1\times3\times5\times6 0.4691 0.4084 18.4023 \times1\times2\times3\times5\times6 0.4877 0.4123 18.3416 \times1\times2\times3\times4\times5\times6 0.4949 0.4030 18.4861
-Referring to Instruction 16-6,what is the value of the variance inflationary factor of Age?
(Short Answer)
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In multiple regression,the ________ procedure permits variables to enter and leave the model at different stages of its development.
(Short Answer)
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Which of the following will NOT change a nonlinear model into a linear model?
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 16-6
Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no).
The coefficient of multiple determination (R2j)the regression model using each of the 6 variables Xj as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively,0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993.
The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:
Model R Square Adj. R Square Std. Error X1X5Х6 0.4568 0.4116 18.3534 \times1\times2\times5\times6 0.4697 0.4091 18.3919 \times1\times3\times5\times6 0.4691 0.4084 18.4023 \times1\times2\times3\times5\times6 0.4877 0.4123 18.3416 \times1\times2\times3\times4\times5\times6 0.4949 0.4030 18.4861
-Referring to Instruction 16-6,what is the value of the variance inflationary factor of Head of Household?
(Short Answer)
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If a group of independent variables are not significant individually but are significant as a group at a specified level of significance,this is most likely due to
(Multiple Choice)
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Instruction 16-6
Given below are results from the regression analysis on 40 observations where the dependent variable is the number of weeks a worker is unemployed due to a layoff (Y)and the independent variables are the age of the worker (X1),the number of years of education received (X2),the number of years at the previous job (X3),a dummy variable for marital status (X4: 1 = married,0 = otherwise),a dummy variable for head of household (X5: 1 = yes,0 = no)and a dummy variable for management position (X6: 1 = yes,0 = no).
The coefficient of multiple determination (R2j)the regression model using each of the 6 variables Xj as the dependent variable and all other X variables as independent variables are,respectively,0.2628,0.1240,0.2404,0.3510,0.3342 and 0.0993.
The partial results from best-subset regression are given below:
Model R Square Adj. R Square Std. Error X1X5Х6 0.4568 0.4116 18.3534 \times1\times2\times5\times6 0.4697 0.4091 18.3919 \times1\times3\times5\times6 0.4691 0.4084 18.4023 \times1\times2\times3\times5\times6 0.4877 0.4123 18.3416 \times1\times2\times3\times4\times5\times6 0.4949 0.4030 18.4861
-Referring to Instruction 16-6,what is the value of the Mallow's Cp statistic for the model that includes X1,X2,X5 and X6?
(Short Answer)
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