Exam 4: Basic Probability

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If events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive,what is the probability that event A occurs?

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Instruction 4-1 Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose main focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasised the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analysed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below: Number of Vehicles involved Did alcohol play a role? Totals Yes 50 100 20 170 No 25 175 30 230 Totals 75 275 50 400 -Referring to Instruction 4-1,given alcohol was involved,what proportion of accidents involved a single vehicle?

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According to a survey of Australian households,the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed,60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents of a household do not own 2 cars and have an income over $50,000 a year is

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Instruction 4-5 In a meat packaging plant,Machine A accounts for 60% of the plant's output,while Machine B accounts for 40% of the plant's output.In total,4% of the packages are improperly sealed.Also,3% of the packages are from Machine A and are improperly sealed. -Referring to Instruction 4-5,if a package is selected at random,the probability that it will be properly sealed is ________.

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The collection of all possible events is called

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Instruction 4-2 An alcohol awareness task force at a large Australian university sampled 200 students after the final exam to ask them whether they went out to a pub on the weekend before the exam or spent the weekend studying,and whether they did well or poorly on the exam.The following result was obtained. Did Well on Exam Did Poorly on Exam Studying for Exam 80 20 Went to a pub 30 70 -Referring to Instruction 4-2,the events "Did Well on Exam" and "Did Poorly on Exam" are

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If P(A and B)= 0,then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.

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Instruction 4-2 An alcohol awareness task force at a large Australian university sampled 200 students after the final exam to ask them whether they went out to a pub on the weekend before the exam or spent the weekend studying,and whether they did well or poorly on the exam.The following result was obtained. Did Well on Exam Did Poorly on Exam Studying for Exam 80 20 Went to a pub 30 70 -Referring to Instruction 4-2,what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the exam or went to a pub on the weekend before the exam?

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The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background and marital status.Of the 600 employees,400 had university degrees,100 were single,and 60 were single university graduates.The probability that an employee of the company is single or has a university degree is

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The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that house sales will increase but interest rates will not increase during the next 6 months is

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If P(A or B)= 1,then A and B must be mutually exclusive.

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Instruction 4-2 An alcohol awareness task force at a large Australian university sampled 200 students after the final exam to ask them whether they went out to a pub on the weekend before the exam or spent the weekend studying,and whether they did well or poorly on the exam.The following result was obtained. Did Well on Exam Did Poorly on Exam Studying for Exam 80 20 Went to a pub 30 70 -Referring to Instruction 4-2,what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the exam and also went to a pub on the weekend before the exam?

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If event A and event B cannot occur at the same time,then events A and B are said to be

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Instruction 4-4 Suppose that patrons of a restaurant were asked whether they preferred beer or whether they preferred wine.70% said that they preferred beer.60% of the patrons were male.80% of the males preferred beer. -Referring to Instruction 4-4,suppose a randomly selected patron prefers beer.Then the probability the patron is a male is ________.

(Short Answer)
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Instruction 4-7 A lottery will have the following payoffs possible with their associated probabilities. Payoff Probability \ 200 0.0500 \ 25.00 0.0100 \ 100.00 0.0050 \ 500.00 0.0010 \ 5,000.00 0.0005 \ 10,000.00 0.0001 You buy a single ticket. -Referring to Instruction 4-7,the probability that you win any money is ________.

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Instruction 4-6 At a NSW University,60% of the students are from NSW,30% are from interstate,and the remaining 10% are from overseas.All students must take and pass an English Proficiency Test (EPT)before they graduate.60% of the NSW students have passed the EPT,70% of the interstate students have passed the EPT,and 90% of the overseas students have passed the EPT. -Referring to Instruction 4-6,if a randomly selected student has passed the EPT,the probability the student is from overseas is ________.

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Instruction 4-9 A sample of 300 adults is selected.The contingency table below shows their registration status and their preferred source of information on current events. Preferred source of information Television Newspapers Radio Internet Voting registration status Registered 45 30 45 36 Not registered 35 44 45 20 -Referring to Instruction 4-9,if an adult is selected at random,what is the probability that he/she is a registered voter who prefers to get his/her current information from the television?

(Short Answer)
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If you want to use Bayes' theorem to calculate P(B|A),the numerator of the statistic will be

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Instruction 4-7 A lottery will have the following payoffs possible with their associated probabilities. Payoff Probability \ 200 0.0500 \ 25.00 0.0100 \ 100.00 0.0050 \ 500.00 0.0010 \ 5,000.00 0.0005 \ 10,000.00 0.0001 You buy a single ticket. -Referring to Instruction 4-7,the probability that you win at least $100.00 is ________.

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The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be 0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The events of "increase in house sales" and "no increase in house sales" in the next 6 months are

(Multiple Choice)
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