Exam 12: Judgment: Drawing Conclusions From Evidence

People with higher IQs are likely to use System 2 to:

Data format seems to play an important role in decision-making because:

Two groups of participants are asked to rate how likely it is a student will pass a physics exam. Group A is told that in the past only 30% of students have passed this test. Group B is told that this student is one of a sample of students, and among that sample, only 30% passed. Group B is more likely to:

Which of the following is TRUE if we consider the phrase "Prejudice decreases as education increases"?

Which of the following is an example of the gambler's fallacy?

Reasoning from "man who" arguments is usually inappropriate because generalizing from a single case is justified only:

Megan cannot sleep at night because she is terribly worried about being robbed, which is highly unlikely. As her friend, you want to help her by describing judgment errors and why she should not lose anymore sleep. Which concept is NOT contributing to her irrational fear?

Training in statistics:

In using the representativeness heuristic, participants:

If Tabitha believes that detective shows are more dramatic than hospital shows, then confirmation bias would lead her to do all of the following EXCEPT be more likely to:

Heuristics are strategies that:

Background knowledge can lead to mistakes, but it can also provide a benefit if:

Which of the following is NOT an example of a frequency judgment?

An employer interviews a job candidate for 15 minutes. On the basis of this, the employer decides that the candidate will perform well in the job, so he hires her. This is a case of a:

In an experiment, participants were told of a previously unknown tribe living on a Pacific island. Only one member of this tribe had been observed so far and was found to be obese. When asked how likely it was that all members of the tribe were obese, participants were unwilling to extrapolate this information. This shows that participants:

A normative account is one that:

Someone who is insensitive to base rates is likely to have all of the following problems EXCEPT:

The text gives an example that juxtaposes Bart's claim that he has a great method for choosing lottery numbers because he used it and won once and Marge's claim that she has a great method that has worked for her 11 times. This example shows that:

Nisbett has argued that participants do understand the basic principles of statistics but often fail to use their knowledge. Which of the following situations does NOT contain one of the triggers that leads to the use of statistical knowledge?

The law of large numbers implies that larger samples of data are less likely to show accidental patterns; therefore, larger samples are generally more informative. In making judgments about evidence, participants: