Exam 27: Factor Models of the Term Structure

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In the Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) model, short rates are distributed as

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B

A one-factor bond pricing model implies that interest-rates of all maturities are driven by a single source of stochastic randomness. For example the system of interest rates may be described by the following equation: dr(T)=α(r(T),T)dt+σ(r(T),T)dW,Td r ( T ) = \alpha ( r ( T ) , T ) d t + \sigma ( r ( T ) , T ) d W , \quad \forall T where TT denotes the maturity of different rates. A single-factor model implies that

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C

Assume annual compounding. The one-year and two-year zero-coupon rates in the BDT model are 6% and 7%. The volatility is given to be σ=0.30\sigma = 0.30 . What is the price of a one-year maturity cap on the one-year interest rate at a strike rate of 8% and a notional of $100?

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B

Based on your answers to the previous two questions and a comparison of the prices of the cap and floor, what can you say about the forward rate between one and two years?

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In the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (1985) model, interest rates are specified by the following stochastic process: drt=k(θrt)dt+σrtdWtd r _ { t } = k \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma _ { } \sqrt { r _ { t } } d W _ { t } Implementation of the model to match observed nominal rate processes generally requires of the parameters that

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In the Ho & Lee (1986) model, the parameter δ\delta plays a crucial role. Which of the following statements best describes this parameter?

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In the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (1985) model, interest rates are specified by the following stochastic process: drt=k(θrt)dt+σrtdWtd r _ { t } = k \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma _ { } \sqrt { r _ { t } } d W _ { t } The process for interest rates is mean-reverting if

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Assume annual compounding. The one-year and two-year zero-coupon rates in the BDT model are 6% and 7%. The volatility is given to be σ=0.30\sigma = 0.30 . At what strike price will one-year maturity call and put options on a 7.5% coupon (annual pay) bond at a strike of $100 (ex-coupon) have equal prices?

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In the Black-Derman-Toy (BDT) model, short rates have

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Assume annual compounding. The one-year and two-year zero-coupon rates in the BDT model are 6% and 7%. The volatility is given to be σ=0.30\sigma = 0.30 . What is the price of a one-year maturity call option on a 7.5% coupon (annual pay) bond at a strike of $100 (ex-coupon)?

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An exponential-affine short rate bond model is one

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An affine factor model is one in which multiple factors XX may be present. Which of the following is not true of an affine factor model.

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In the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross or CIR model, interest rates are specified by the following stochastic process: drt=k(θrt)dt+σrtdWtd r _ { t } = k \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma \sqrt { r _ { t } } d W _ { t } One attractive feature of this process relative to the Vasicek interest rate process drt=k(θrt)dt+σdWtd r _ { t } = k \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma d W _ { t } is that

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In the Ho & Lee (1986) model, assume that the initial curve of zero-coupon discount bond prices for one and two years is 0.94340.9434 and 0.87340.8734 , respectively. Assume that the probability of an upshift in discount functions is equal to that of a downshift. If the parameter δ=0.95\delta = 0.95 , then the price of a one-year zero-coupon bond in the up node after one year will be

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Vasicek (1977) posits a general mean-reverting form for the short-rate: drt=κ(θrt)dt+σdWtd r _ { t } = \kappa \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma d W _ { t } He then derives, in the absence of arbitrage, a restriction on the market price of risk λ\lambda of any bond, where (μr)/η=λ( \mu - r ) / \eta = \lambda of any bond, with μ\mu being the instantaneous return on the bond, and η\eta being the bond's instantaneous volatility. The derived restriction is that

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In the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR 1985) model, you are given that drt=κ(θrt)dt+σrtdWtd r _ { t } = \kappa \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma \sqrt { r _ { t } } d W _ { t } where x=0.5x = 0.5 , θ=0.06\theta = 0.06 , σ=0.10\sigma = 0.10 . If the yield of a five-year bond is 0.070.07 , then what is the price of the bond?

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Assume annual compounding. The one-year and two-year zero-coupon rates in the BDT model are 6% and 7%. The volatility is given to be σ=0.30\sigma = 0.30 . What is the price of a one-year maturity put option on a 7.5% coupon (annual pay) bond at a strike of $100 (ex-coupon)?

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In the CIR (1985) model, which of the following statements is true? The price of the bond increases when

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Assume annual compounding. The one-year and two-year zero-coupon rates in the BDT model are 6% and 7%. The volatility is given to be σ=0.30\sigma = 0.30 . What is the price of a one-year maturity floor on the one-year interest rate at a strike rate of 8% and a notional of $100?

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In the Vasieck (1977) model, you are given that drt=κ(θrt)dt+σdWtd r _ { t } = \kappa \left( \theta - r _ { t } \right) d t + \sigma d W _ { t } where k=0.5k = 0.5 , θ=0.06\theta = 0.06 , σ=0.10\sigma = 0.10 , and the current short rate of interest is r0=0.08r _ { 0 } = 0.08 . What is the expected standard deviation of the short rate of interest one year hence?

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