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TABLE 12-7 An Investment Specialist Claims That If One Holds a Portfolio

Question 111

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TABLE 12-7
An investment specialist claims that if one holds a portfolio that moves in the opposite direction to the market index like the S&P 500, then it is possible to reduce the variability of the portfolio's return. In other words, one can create a portfolio with positive returns but less exposure to risk. A sample of 26 years of S&P 500 Index and a portfolio consisting of stocks of private prisons, which are believed to be negatively related to the S&P 500 Index, is collected. A regression analysis was performed by regressing the returns of the prison stocks portfolio (Y) on the returns of S&P 500 Index (X) to prove that the prison stocks portfolio is negatively related to the S&P 500 Index at a 5% level of significance. The results are given in the following Microsoft Excel output.
TABLE 12-7 An investment specialist claims that if one holds a portfolio that moves in the opposite direction to the market index like the S&P 500, then it is possible to reduce the variability of the portfolio's return. In other words, one can create a portfolio with positive returns but less exposure to risk. A sample of 26 years of S&P 500 Index and a portfolio consisting of stocks of private prisons, which are believed to be negatively related to the S&P 500 Index, is collected. A regression analysis was performed by regressing the returns of the prison stocks portfolio (Y)  on the returns of S&P 500 Index (X)  to prove that the prison stocks portfolio is negatively related to the S&P 500 Index at a 5% level of significance. The results are given in the following Microsoft Excel output.     Note: 2.94942E-07 = 2.94942 * 10-7 -Referring to Table 12-7, which of the following will be a correct conclusion? A)  You cannot reject the null hypothesis and, therefore, conclude that there is sufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related. B)  You can reject the null hypothesis and, therefore, conclude that there is sufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related. C)  You cannot reject the null hypothesis and, therefore, conclude that there is insufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related. D)  You can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is insufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related.
Note: 2.94942E-07 = 2.94942 * 10-7
-Referring to Table 12-7, which of the following will be a correct conclusion?


A) You cannot reject the null hypothesis and, therefore, conclude that there is sufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related.
B) You can reject the null hypothesis and, therefore, conclude that there is sufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related.
C) You cannot reject the null hypothesis and, therefore, conclude that there is insufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related.
D) You can reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is insufficient evidence to show that the prison stocks portfolio and S&P 500 Index are negatively related.

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