I Believe That There Is An $80 \%$ Chance That I Will Get the Promotion

Multiple Choice

I believe that there is an $80 \%$ chance that I will get the promotion. The day before my supervisor tells me that he has "valuable" information about the chance that I get promoted. He tells me that there is an $80 \%$ chance that I will get the promotion. What type of forecast is this to me?

A) Confirming forecast.
B) Disconfirming forecast.
C) A precise forecast.
D) An incorrect forecast.