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Which of the Following Statements Is an Example of Optimistic $1\$ 1

Question 5

Multiple Choice

Which of the following statements is an example of optimistic overconfidence?


A) When a fair coin is flipped, I win $1\$ 1 if heads comes up and $0\$ 0 if tails comes up. I believe that there is a 75%75 \% chance that tails will come up.
B) I give 90%90 \% confidence intervals for 10 questions. Of the 10 questions, the true value for 7 questions falls within the stated intervals.
C) When a fair coin is flipped, I win $1\$ 1 if heads comes up and $0\$ 0 if tails comes up. I believe that there is a 75%75 \% chance that heads will come up.
D) I give 90%90 \% confidence intervals for 10 questions. Of the 10 questions, the true value for 10 questions falls within the stated intervals.

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