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Consider the Following Decision Scenario If You Feel That P(#1) =

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Consider the following decision scenario:  Alternative  State of Nature #1#2#3#4 A 1016 B 1542 C 3223\begin{array} { | l | l | l | l | l | } \hline { \text { Alternative } } & { \text { State of Nature } } & & \\\hline & \# 1 & \# 2 & \# 3 & \# 4 \\ \hline \text { A } & 1 & 0 & 1 & 6 \\\hline \text { B } & 1 & 5 & 4 & 2 \\\hline \text { C } & 3 & 2 & 2 & 3 \\\hline\end{array} If you feel that P(#1) = .4, P(#2) = .3, P(#3) = .2, and P(#4) = .1, what is your expected payoff under certainty?

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