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The Price of Oil Is Currently at $24 but You

Question 29

Multiple Choice

The price of oil is currently at $24 but you expect it to either increase by 18 percent or decrease by 7 percent over the next 6 months.The 6-month risk-free rate of interest is 1.98 percent.What is the probability that the price will increase?


A) 32.47 percent
B) 36.03 percent
C) 38.06 percent
D) 35.92 percent
E) 37.94 percent

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