You Have Gathered Historical Data on the Prevalence of a Pathogen

Multiple Choice

You have gathered historical data on the prevalence of a pathogen throughout a population of bats.You have also learned the dynamics of transmission and the rate of infection.You want to know how this pathogen may spread to other colonies of bats adjacent to the population you are studying.What might be a good way to do this?

A) Inoculate the adjacent colonies and watch to see how the pathogen spreads on its own
B) Bring all the bats into captivity and expose them to the pathogen then measure how the bats from each colony respond
C) Set up a field experiment where the prey spread the pathogen naturally
D) Use historical data, the knowledge of its infection rate, and population dynamics to create a model and predict how it might spread.