Essay
The following table shows the annual revenues (in millions of dollars)of a pharmaceutical company over the period 1990-2011. The autoregressive models of order 1 and 2,yt = β0 + β1yt - 1 + εt,and yt = β0 + β1yt - 1 + β2yt - 2 + εt,were applied on the time series to make revenue forecasts.The relevant parts of Excel regression outputs are given below.
Model AR(1):
Model AR(2):
Compare Excel outputs for AR(1)and AR(2)and choose the forecasting model that seems to be better.
Correct Answer:

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AR(1)has one explanatory variable less b...View Answer
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