Exam 5: Uncertainty and Consumer Behavior

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Which of the following assets is almost riskless?

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Use the following statements to answer this question: I.The real rate of return on an investment is the nominal return minus the rate of inflation. II.The real rate of return on an investment cannot be negative.

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Scenario 5.6: Consider the information in the table below,describing choices for a new doctor.The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments,which the individual cannot predict. Scenario 5.6: Consider the information in the table below,describing choices for a new doctor.The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments,which the individual cannot predict.   -Refer to Scenario 5.6.The utility of expected income from research is -Refer to Scenario 5.6.The utility of expected income from research is

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Jonathan and Roberto enjoy playing poker.Jonathan's utility as a function of winning a poker hand is Jonathan and Roberto enjoy playing poker.Jonathan's utility as a function of winning a poker hand is   Roberto's utility as a function of winning a poker hand is   Unfortunately for Jonathan,he has a habit of whistling only when he gets a full-house or better.Roberto,however,has not noticed this habit.Roberto currently has three-of-a-kind (which will lose to a full-house or better).Roberto believes that the probability Jonathan can beat his three-of-a-kind is 1/10.Roberto could choose to fold or play the hand.Calculate Roberto's expected utility according to his beliefs.Jonathan is currently whistling.How much could Roberto increase his utility by recognizing Jonathan's whistling habit? Roberto's utility as a function of winning a poker hand is Jonathan and Roberto enjoy playing poker.Jonathan's utility as a function of winning a poker hand is   Roberto's utility as a function of winning a poker hand is   Unfortunately for Jonathan,he has a habit of whistling only when he gets a full-house or better.Roberto,however,has not noticed this habit.Roberto currently has three-of-a-kind (which will lose to a full-house or better).Roberto believes that the probability Jonathan can beat his three-of-a-kind is 1/10.Roberto could choose to fold or play the hand.Calculate Roberto's expected utility according to his beliefs.Jonathan is currently whistling.How much could Roberto increase his utility by recognizing Jonathan's whistling habit? Unfortunately for Jonathan,he has a habit of whistling only when he gets a full-house or better.Roberto,however,has not noticed this habit.Roberto currently has three-of-a-kind (which will lose to a full-house or better).Roberto believes that the probability Jonathan can beat his three-of-a-kind is 1/10.Roberto could choose to fold or play the hand.Calculate Roberto's expected utility according to his beliefs.Jonathan is currently whistling.How much could Roberto increase his utility by recognizing Jonathan's whistling habit?

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Consider the following statements when answering this question; I.Without fire insurance,the expected value of homeownership for a risk averse homeowner is $W.Insurance companies are willing to sell this homeowner a policy that guarantees the homeowner a wealth of $W. II.In a neighborhood where the price of houses are identical,the probability of a fire is identical,and the value of damage done by fires is identical,the risk premium for an insurance policy that repays all the cost of the fire damage does not vary across homeowners.

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Suppose you cannot buy information that completely removes the uncertainty from a business decision that you face,but you could buy information that reduces the degree of uncertainty.Based on the discussion in this chapter,the value of this partial information could be determined as the:

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The expected value is a measure of

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  Figure 5.2 -When facing a 50% chance of receiving $50 and a 50% chance of receiving $100,the individual pictured in Figure 5.2 Figure 5.2 -When facing a 50% chance of receiving $50 and a 50% chance of receiving $100,the individual pictured in Figure 5.2

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Scenario 5.4: Suppose an individual is considering an investment in which there are exactly three possible outcomes,whose probabilities and pay-offs are given below: Scenario 5.4: Suppose an individual is considering an investment in which there are exactly three possible outcomes,whose probabilities and pay-offs are given below:   The expected value of the investment is $25.Although all the information is correct,information is missing. -Refer to Scenario 5.4.What is the pay-off of outcome C? The expected value of the investment is $25.Although all the information is correct,information is missing. -Refer to Scenario 5.4.What is the pay-off of outcome C?

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Jack is near retirement and worried that if the stock market falls he will not be able to wait to take his funds out,and will have to sell at the bottom of the market.Richard thinks the probability of a stock market downturn is the same,but he is only 40 and could therefore wait for another turnaround.They face the same budget line.Jack's risk/return indifference curve

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In the figure below,what is true about the two jobs? In the figure below,what is true about the two jobs?

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Which of the following statements is true?

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One reason individuals are willing to pay for information in uncertain situations is that information

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Some recent developments in financial research focus on ways to make portfolio allocations and other investment decisions in ways that largely ignore the possible gains but protect against large losses.These tools are designed to reflect __________ behavior among investors.

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Which of the following actions may be explained by the law of small numbers?

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Scenario 5.6: Consider the information in the table below,describing choices for a new doctor.The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments,which the individual cannot predict. Scenario 5.6: Consider the information in the table below,describing choices for a new doctor.The outcomes represent different macroeconomic environments,which the individual cannot predict.   -Refer to Scenario 5.6.The expected utility of income from research is -Refer to Scenario 5.6.The expected utility of income from research is

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A risk-averse individual has

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Joan Summers has $100,000 to invest and is considering two alternatives.She can buy a risk free asset that will pay 10% or she can invest in a stock that has a 0.4 chance of paying 15%,a 0.3 chance of paying 18%,and a 0.3 chance of providing a 6% return.Joan plans to invest $70,000 in the stock and $30,000 in the risk free asset. a.Determine the expected percentage return on the stock and the standard deviation. b.Calculate the weighted average return on the portfolio,given the planned investment strategy outlined above. c.Determine the standard deviation for the portfolio. d.Write the equation that represents the budget line in the risk-return tradeoff.What is the slope of the budget line? Interpret this slope.

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Bill's utility function takes the form U(I)= exp(I)where I is Bill's income.Based on this utility function,we can see that Bill is:

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Consider the following information about job opportunities for new college graduates in Megalopolis: Table 5.1 Consider the following information about job opportunities for new college graduates in Megalopolis: Table 5.1   -Refer to Table 5.1.A risk-averse student making a decision solely on the basis of the above information -Refer to Table 5.1.A risk-averse student making a decision solely on the basis of the above information

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