Exam 14: Risk in Project Analysis
Exam 1: Introduction, Basic Principles, and Methodology43 Questions
Exam 2: Revenue of the Firm126 Questions
Exam 3: Topics in Demand Analysis and Estimation37 Questions
Exam 4: Economic Forecasting55 Questions
Exam 5: Production Analysis51 Questions
Exam 6: Cost of Production81 Questions
Exam 7: Profit Analysis of the Firm63 Questions
Exam 8: Perfect Competition and Monopoly67 Questions
Exam 9: Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly75 Questions
Exam 10: Games, Information and Strategy58 Questions
Exam 11: Topics in Pricing and Profit Analysis70 Questions
Exam 12: Factor Markets59 Questions
Exam 13: Fundamentals of Project Evaluation72 Questions
Exam 14: Risk in Project Analysis57 Questions
Exam 15: Economics of Public Sector Decisions51 Questions
Exam 16: Legal and Regulatory Environment of the Firm36 Questions
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An efficient portfolio is a project or a combination of investments that will involve the least risk for a given rate of return.
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(True/False)
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Correct Answer:
True
For a normal distribution, the amount of the distribution that lies within plus or minus two standard deviations of the mean is approximately:
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(Multiple Choice)
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Correct Answer:
B
An event set consists of all elementary events that satisfy a particular outcome.
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(True/False)
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Correct Answer:
True
In probability analysis, the term "event" is used to designate an outcome.
(True/False)
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A risk-neutral investor is indifferent between two investments with the same expected return, regardless of their risk.
(True/False)
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Given the following data on two one period capital projects, calculate 1) the expected value of each project's cash flows and 2) the standard deviation of probable cash flows from each project. Indicate which of the two projects would be chosen by a risk-averse decision maker if their prices were the same and they had similar lives.


(Essay)
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Each event in a listing of all possible outcomes of a given situation is called a composite event.
(True/False)
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Use the following information to answer questions 10-12
A one year project has the following possible returns in relation to the percentage growth in personal income:
The management of Roller King has determined the following subjective probabilities concerning the percentage growth in personal income:
-What is the variance of the inflows?


(Multiple Choice)
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For a normal distribution, the amount of the distribution that lies within plus or minus one standard deviation of the mean is approximately:
(Multiple Choice)
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In project analysis, the assumption usually made is that the decision maker is risk averse.
(True/False)
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A one year project has the following possible returns in relation to the percentage growth in personal income:
The management of Roller King has determined the following subjective probabilities concerning the percentage growth in personal income:
a. What is the expected value of the cash inflow from the project?
b. Determine the variance of the inflows.
c. Determine the standard deviation of the inflows


(Essay)
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The value of an investment that is found by taking the square root of the variance is called the:
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following information to answer questions 13 - 15
The following data is on two one period capital projects.
-What is the variance of each project's cash flow?

(Multiple Choice)
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A risk-return indifference curve shows combinations of increasingly risky investments with decreasing rates of return that are equally attractive to an investor.
(True/False)
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The value of an investment that is found by subtracting the expected value of the project from each possible outcome, squaring each of these values, multiplying each squared deviation by the probability of each respective outcome, and then summing the resulting products is called the:
(Multiple Choice)
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A continuous probability distribution would be represented by a bar graph and would not contain information on the probability values in between those value illustrated in the graph.
(True/False)
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If we assume that the decision maker is risk-averse, then we can conclude that the economic nature of risk is that its presence will have the following effect on the desirability of a given undertaking or investment project.
(Multiple Choice)
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