Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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Exhibit 16-5 Exhibit 16-5    -Refer to Exhibit 16-5.If the economy is at point 3,and the natural unemployment rate exists at points 1,4,and 5,it follows that -Refer to Exhibit 16-5.If the economy is at point 3,and the natural unemployment rate exists at points 1,4,and 5,it follows that

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The Friedman natural rate theory states that

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Exhibit 16-7 Exhibit 16-7    -Refer to Exhibit 16-7. Assume that the starting point is point 1. Suppose that the Fed implements expansionary monetary policy that raises aggregate demand. Which of the following best goes with the diagram shown? -Refer to Exhibit 16-7. Assume that the starting point is point 1. Suppose that the Fed implements expansionary monetary policy that raises aggregate demand. Which of the following best goes with the diagram shown?

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As long as some people anticipate policy,the economic consequences may be the same as if all persons do so.

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A.W.Phillips collected data on the rate of change in money wages and plotted it against unemployment rates in the United Kingdom.The curve he fit to the data showed that

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The policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP)argument states that under certain circumstances,neither expansionary demand-side fiscal policy nor expansionary monetary policy is effective at achieving macroeconomic goals.

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Exhibit 16-2 Exhibit 16-2    -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts out at point A and the public correctly anticipates that the AD curve will shift from AD<sub>1</sub> to AD<sub>2</sub>.If wages are temporarily fixed,SRAS<sub>1</sub> will __________ and the economy will end up at point __________. -Refer to Exhibit 16-2.Suppose the economy starts out at point A and the public correctly anticipates that the AD curve will shift from AD1 to AD2.If wages are temporarily fixed,SRAS1 will __________ and the economy will end up at point __________.

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If the public has rational expectations,

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Which of the following changes would not be considered a likely source of changes in Real GDP according to real business cycle theory?

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The original (1958)Phillips curve stated that

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Explain why there is an inverse relationship between wage inflation and unemployment as aggregate demand changes.

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The terms rational expectations and adaptive expectations are two different names for the same concept.

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Implied in new Keynesian theory is that when policy is correctly anticipated,there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment in

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One of the ideas that found a permanent place in macroeconomics after Milton Friedman's presidential address to the American Economic Association in 1967 was that

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The economy is in long-run equilibrium when government unexpectedly increases aggregate demand.The expected inflation rate is slow to adjust to the higher (actual)inflation rate.If follows that in the short run,according to the Friedman natural rate theory,__________ rises and the __________ falls.

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Describe the policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP).Be sure to state which economic theory the PIP is associated with and the assumptions that are necessary for this argument to hold.

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Exhibit 16-6 Exhibit 16-6    -Refer to Exhibit 16-6.The economy is initially in long-run equilibrium at point A.There is a correctly anticipated increase in aggregate demand,prices and wages are flexible,the economy is self-regulating,and people hold rational expectations.The economy will move to point -Refer to Exhibit 16-6.The economy is initially in long-run equilibrium at point A.There is a correctly anticipated increase in aggregate demand,prices and wages are flexible,the economy is self-regulating,and people hold rational expectations.The economy will move to point

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Exhibit 16-4 Exhibit 16-4    -Refer to Exhibit 16-4.The economy is initially at point A,in long run equilibrium.A real business cycle would be represented by the following sequence of curve shifts: -Refer to Exhibit 16-4.The economy is initially at point A,in long run equilibrium.A real business cycle would be represented by the following sequence of curve shifts:

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Rational expectations theory is also known as the Friedman fooling theory.

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According to new classical theory,if policy is correctly anticipated,expectations are formed rationally,and wages and prices are fully flexible,then an increase in aggregate demand will change Real GDP,but not the price level.

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