Exam 16: Regression Analysis: Model Building

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The correlation in error terms that arises when the error terms at successive points in time are related is termed _____.

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C

The following regression model y = β0 + β1x1 + β2x2 + ε is known as _____.

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Consider the following data: x y 1 2 4 3 6 5 7 8 8 10 Use Excel's Regression tool to estimate a general linear model that uses a reciprocal transformation on the dependent variable. ​

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 A  B  C  D  E  F 1yx1/y2210.50003340.33334560.20005870.125061080.100078 SUMMARY OUTPUT 910 Regression Statistics 11 MultipleR 0.9966812 R Square 0.9933713 Adjusted R Square 0.9911614 Standard Error 0.0156015 Observations 51617 ANOVA 18dfSSMSF Signif. F 19 Regression 10.109330.10933449.2410.0002320 Residual 30.000730.0002421 Total 40.110062223 Coefficients  Sta. Error  tStat  P-value  Lower 95% 24 Intercept 0.561470.016234.66675.28E050.5099325x0.059580.002821.19530.000230.06852\begin{array}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|}\hline & \text { A } & \text { B } & \text { C } & \text { D } & \text { E }& \text { F } \\\hline 1 & \mathrm{y} & \mathrm{x} & 1 / \mathrm{y} \\\hline 2 & 2 & 1 & 0.5000 \\\hline 3 & 3 & 4 & 0.3333 \\\hline 4 & 5 & 6 & 0.2000 \\\hline 5 & 8 & 7 & 0.1250 \\\hline 6 & 10 & 8 & 0.1000 \\\hline 7 & & & \\\hline 8 & \text { SUMMARY OUTPUT } & & \\\hline 9 & & \\\hline 10 & \text { Regression Statistics } & \\\hline \mathbf{1 1} & \text { MultipleR } & 0.99668 \\\hline 12 & \text { R Square } & 0.99337 \\\hline \mathbf{1 3} & \text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.99116 \\\hline 14 & \text { Standard Error } & 0.01560 \\\hline 15 & \text { Observations } & 5 \\\hline16\\\hline17 &\text { ANOVA }\\\hline 18 & & d f & S S & M S & F & \text { Signif. F } \\\hline 19 & \text { Regression } & 1 & 0.10933 & 0.10933 & 449.241 & 0.00023 \\\hline 20 & \text { Residual } & 3 & 0.00073 & 0.00024 & & \\\hline 21 & \text { Total } & 4 & 0.11006 & & & \\\hline22\\\hline 23 & & \text { Coefficients } & \text { Sta. Error } & \text { tStat } & \text { P-value } & \text { Lower 95\% } \\\hline 24 & \text { Intercept } & 0.56147 & 0.0162 & 34.6667 & 5.28 \mathrm{E}-05 & 0.50993 \\\hline 25 & \mathrm{x} & -0.05958 & 0.0028 & -21.1953 & 0.00023 & -0.06852\\\hline\end{array} 1/y=.561472.05958x1 / y = .561472 - .05958 x

All the variables in a multiple regression analysis _____.

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The variable selection procedure that identifies the best regression equation, given a specified number of independent variables, is _____.

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What value of Durbin-Watson statistic indicates no autocorrelation is present?

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The joint effect of two variables acting together is called _____.

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A test to determine whether or not first-order autocorrelation is present is _____.

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Which of the following statements about the backward elimination procedure is false?

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When a regression model was developed relating sales (y) of a company to its product's price (x1), the SSE was determined to be 495. A second regression model relating sales (y) to product's price (x1) and competitor's product price (x2) resulted in an SSE of 396. At α = .05, determine if the competitor's product price contributed significantly to the model. The sample size for both models was 33.

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A regression model relating a dependent variable, y, with one independent variable, x1, resulted in an SSE of 400. Another regression model with the same dependent variable, y, and two independent variables, x1 and x2, resulted in an SSE of 320. At α = .05, determine if x2 contributed significantly to the model. The sample size for both models was 20.

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Consider the following data: 4 8 6 10 8 8 10 12 14 4 ​ Use Excel's Regression tool to estimate a general linear model of the form lny=β0+β1x+ε\ln y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \varepsilon

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Monthly total production costs and the number of units produced at a local company over a period of 10 months are shown below. Month Production Costs Units Produced (\ millions) ( millions) 1 1 2 2 1 3 3 1 4 4 2 5 5 2 6 6 4 7 7 5 8 8 7 9 9 9 10 10 12 10 Use Excel's Regression tool to estimate a second-order model of the form y=β0+β1x1+β2x12+εy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 1 } ^ { 2 } + \varepsilon

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Serial correlation is_____.

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Consider the following data: x y 1 2 4 3 6 5 7 8 8 10 Use Excel's Regression tool to estimate a general linear model of the form lny=β0+β1x+ε\ln y = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x + \varepsilon

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A regression analysis (involving 45 observations) relating a dependent variable (y) and two independent variables resulted in the following information. ​ y^\widehat { y } = 0.408 + 1.3387x1 + 2x2 ​ The SSE for the above model is 49. When two other independent variables were added to the model, the following information was provided. ​ y^\widehat { y } = 1.2 + 3.0x1 + 12x2 + 4.0x3 + 8x4 ​ This latter model's SSE is 40. At a 5% significance level, test to determine if the two added independent variables contribute significantly to the model.

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The range of the Durbin-Watson statistic is _____.

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Forty-eight observations of a dependent variable (y) and five independent variables resulted in an SSE of 438. When two additional independent variables were added to the model, the SSE was reduced to 375. At a 5% level of significance, determine if the two additional independent variables contribute significantly to the model.

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A sample of six recent college graduates shows their current annual income (in $1000s), years of education, and current age (in years). The data follow: Income Education Age 47.8 2 20 37.3 2 25 33.5 2 30 79 4 20 67 4 25 39.3 4 30 Use Excel's Regression tool to estimate a general linear model of the form that predicts annual income. y=β0+β1x1+β2x2+β3x1x2+εy = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } x _ { 1 } + \beta _ { 2 } x _ { 2 } + \beta _ { 3 } x _ { 1 } x _ { 2 } + \varepsilon

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When autocorrelation is present, one of the assumptions of the regression model is violated and that assumption is the _____.

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