Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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Milton Friedman argued that the economy is not in long-run equilibrium if the expected inflation rate __________ the actual inflation rate.

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Starting from long-run equilibrium, if the public anticipates that policymakers will increase aggregate demand by less than policymakers do increase aggregate demand, and if the short-run aggregate supply curve fully adjusts to the (incorrectly) anticipated increase in aggregate demand, then Real GDP will __________ and the price level will __________.

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The Friedman natural rate theory is built upon

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In the real business cycle theory, business cycle contractions begin as a result of changes in

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According to Milton Friedman, there are two Phillips curves, a short-run one and a long-run one.

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Stagflation exists when an economy is experiencing high rates of both unemployment and inflation.

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According to real business cycle theorists, changes in Real GDP are the result of initial changes in

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According to the real business cycle theory, business cycle contractions are generally caused by

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The original Phillips curve depicted the relationship between

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Milton Friedman argued that there

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Exhibit 16-5 Exhibit 16-5    -Refer to Exhibit 16-5. If the economy continually moves between points 1, 2, and 3, it follows that -Refer to Exhibit 16-5. If the economy continually moves between points 1, 2, and 3, it follows that

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Real business cycle theory would emphasize the ability of a beneficial supply shock to shift the __________ curve rightward and __________ Real GDP.

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In the 1970s and early 1980s, the U.S. economy experienced

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If expectations are formed rationally, wages and prices are not completely flexible in the short run, and policy is correctly anticipated, increases in aggregate demand will stimulate the economy to higher levels of Real GDP and lower levels of unemployment in

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Describe the sequence of events that real business cycle theorists would use to explain how an adverse supply shock would impact the economy. Use your answer to explain why it is easy to confuse cause and effect between changes originating on the supply side and those that begin on the demand side.

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The original (1958) Phillips curve differed from the Samuelson-Solow Phillips curve in that

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The real business cycle theory holds that the business cycle

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The policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP) argument states that under certain circumstances, neither expansionary demand-side fiscal policy nor expansionary monetary policy is effective at achieving macroeconomic goals.

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New classical economists believe that monetary and fiscal policies are never effective.

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1    -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. According to new classical macroeconomists, if decreases in aggregate demand are unanticipated, then the economy will move from point C to -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. According to new classical macroeconomists, if decreases in aggregate demand are unanticipated, then the economy will move from point C to

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