Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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Exhibit 16-4 Exhibit 16-4    -Refer to Exhibit 16-4. If LRAS<sub>1</sub> shifts to LRAS<sub>2</sub>, and this causes AD<sub>1</sub> to shift to AD<sub>2</sub>, economists would call this a -Refer to Exhibit 16-4. If LRAS1 shifts to LRAS2, and this causes AD1 to shift to AD2, economists would call this a

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A person's real wage will fall if the nominal wage falls, the price level rises, or both.

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The Friedman natural rate theory holds that there is an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment in the long run, but not in the short run.

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According to new Keynesian theory, if policy is correctly anticipated, increases in aggregate demand will stimulate the economy to higher levels of Real GDP and lower levels of unemployment in

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One of the key assumptions of the new classical theory is that individuals form their expectations rationally.

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New Keynesian theory differs from new classical theory in that New Keynesian theory assumes that wages and prices are not completely flexible in the short-run, while fully flexible wages and prices are an assumption of new classical theory.

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Under new Keynesian theory, a correctly anticipated decrease in aggregate demand will lead to __________ in Real GDP and __________ in the price level.

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Although the possibility exists for an economy to experience stagflation, it has never actually happened in the United States.

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New classical economists believe that there is

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According to rational expectations theory,

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1    -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. Suppose the economy is currently at point B on the short-run Phillips curve, SRPC<sub>1</sub>. What could get the economy to move to point C on SRPC<sub>2</sub>? -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. Suppose the economy is currently at point B on the short-run Phillips curve, SRPC1. What could get the economy to move to point C on SRPC2?

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Explain why there is an inverse relationship between wage inflation and unemployment as aggregate demand changes.

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As incorrectly low inflation expectations catch up with the higher actual inflation rate, the SRAS curve shifts __________ and the short-run Phillips curve shifts __________.

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Describe the policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP). Be sure to state which economic theory the PIP is associated with and the assumptions that are necessary for this argument to hold.

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For the period 1961 to 1969, the Phillips curve for the United States displayed the same shape that A. W. Phillips found for the United Kingdom for the period 1861 to 1913---it was

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Exhibit 16-5 Exhibit 16-5    -Refer to Exhibit 16-5. If the economy is at point 3, and the natural unemployment rate exists at points 1, 4, and 5, it follows that -Refer to Exhibit 16-5. If the economy is at point 3, and the natural unemployment rate exists at points 1, 4, and 5, it follows that

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In which of the following economic theories is it possible for an increase in the money supply to lead to a decrease in Real GDP in the short run?

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The terms rational expectations and adaptive expectations are two different names for the same concept.

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The main difference between new classical and new Keynesian theory is with respect to the assumption of

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If expectations are formed rationally, wages and prices are completely flexible in the short run and policy is correctly anticipated, increases in aggregate demand will

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