Exam 16: Expectations Theory and the Economy

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The Friedman natural rate theory is based on rational expectations and is also called the new classical theory.

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According to Friedman, in which of the following situations is the economy in long-run equilibrium?

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An increase in the actual inflation rate is represented by a

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If there is a stable downward-sloping Phillips curve, it follows that an economy can choose the combination of

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The difference between new classical theory and new Keynesian theory is that

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Exhibit 16-2 Exhibit 16-2    -Refer to Exhibit 16-2. Suppose the economy starts at point A. Fed monetary policy shifts the AD curve to AD<sub>2</sub>. A rise in Real GDP is likely if the economy operates under __________ assumptions, such as wage and price __________. -Refer to Exhibit 16-2. Suppose the economy starts at point A. Fed monetary policy shifts the AD curve to AD2. A rise in Real GDP is likely if the economy operates under __________ assumptions, such as wage and price __________.

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1    -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. Suppose the economy is currently at point A on the short-run Phillips curve, SRPC<sub>1</sub>. What could get the economy to move to point B? -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. Suppose the economy is currently at point A on the short-run Phillips curve, SRPC1. What could get the economy to move to point B?

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Which theory of the business cycle emphasizes initiating changes in aggregate supply?

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A rise in the expected price level leads to an expectation that real wages will ____________, which will cause people to work __________, shifting the SRAS curve _______________.

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A fall in the expected price level leads to an expectation that real wages will ____________, which will cause people to work __________, shifting the SRAS curve _______________.

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New Keynesian theorists argue that

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If the public has rational expectations,

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Exhibit 16-1 Exhibit 16-1    -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. According to new classical macroeconomists, if increases in aggregate demand are correctly anticipated, then the economy will move from point A to -Refer to Exhibit 16-1. According to new classical macroeconomists, if increases in aggregate demand are correctly anticipated, then the economy will move from point A to

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An unexpected decrease in aggregate demand will cause

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Expectations theory tells us that what people think can impact the economy.

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Exhibit 16-2 Exhibit 16-2    -Refer to Exhibit 16-2. Suppose the economy starts out at point A. Next, the public anticipates that the Fed will use expansionary monetary policy to shift the AD curve from AD<sub>1</sub> to AD<sub>2</sub>. What happens, instead, is that the Fed does not raise aggregate demand as much as the public expects (bias upward). Instead the Fed pushes the AD curve from AD<sub>1</sub> to AD<sub>3</sub>. As a result, according to new classical theory in the long run point _____________ best represents the new state of the economy. -Refer to Exhibit 16-2. Suppose the economy starts out at point A. Next, the public anticipates that the Fed will use expansionary monetary policy to shift the AD curve from AD1 to AD2. What happens, instead, is that the Fed does not raise aggregate demand as much as the public expects (bias upward). Instead the Fed pushes the AD curve from AD1 to AD3. As a result, according to new classical theory in the long run point _____________ best represents the new state of the economy.

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According to new classical theory, if the public correctly anticipates a government policy to increase aggregate demand, then the

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The Friedman natural rate theory implies that there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment in

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The Friedman natural rate theory states that

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According to new classical economists, when monetary and fiscal policies are __________ anticipated, people form their expectations __________, and wages and prices are __________, the policy ineffectiveness proposition (PIP) results.

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