Exam 5: Modeling Variation With Probability
Exam 1: Introduction to Data60 Questions
Exam 2: Picturing Variation With Graphs59 Questions
Exam 3: Numerical Summaries of Center and Variation59 Questions
Exam 4: Regression Analysis: Exploring Associations Between Variables59 Questions
Exam 5: Modeling Variation With Probability60 Questions
Exam 6: Modeling Random Events: the Normal and Binomial Models40 Questions
Exam 7: Survey Sampling and Inference57 Questions
Exam 8: Hypothesis Testing for Population Proportions57 Questions
Exam 9: Inferring Population Means57 Questions
Exam 10: Associations Between Categorical Variables35 Questions
Exam 11: Multiple Comparisons and Analysis of Variance34 Questions
Exam 12: Experimental Design: Controlling Variation60 Questions
Exam 13: Inference Without Normality25 Questions
Exam 14: Inference for Regression22 Questions
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Use the following table to answer questions ). A random sample of adults was asked to respond to a
survey about whether they use their cell phones to shop for a specific item. One question, summarized in the table
below reflecting probabilities, asked each respondent to choose whether or not they use a cell phone app to shop.
The major age groupings were under 40 or 40 years or older.
-Which of the following are mutually exclusive events in this study?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following information to answer questions . Suppose that a recent poll of American households about
car ownership found that for households with a car, 39% owned a sedan, 33% owned a van, and 7% owned a sports
car. Suppose that three households are selected randomly and with replacement.
-What is the probability that none of the three randomly selected households own a van? (Round to the nearest thousandth)
(Multiple Choice)
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A homeowner notices that 8 out of 14 days the mail arrives before 3pm. She concludes that the probability that the mail will arrive before 3pm tomorrow is about 57%. Is this an example of a theoretical or empirical probability?
(Multiple Choice)
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A study asks a sample of adults whether they prefer cats or dogs or neither. Only one answer is allowed. Survey also records whether male or female. Which of the following are mutually exclusive events in this study?
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following table to answer questions ). A random sample of adults was asked to respond to a
survey about whether they use their cell phones to shop for a specific item. One question, summarized in the table
below reflecting probabilities, asked each respondent to choose whether or not they use a cell phone app to shop.
The major age groupings were under 40 or 40 years or older.
-If one adult is randomly chosen from the group, what is the probability that if the adult does not use a cell phone app for shopping and is over 40 years old?

(Multiple Choice)
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Which of the following statements are not true about probability in general?
(Multiple Choice)
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A researcher wants to compare experimental results with a theoretical value for the probability of getting a tail on a coin and a 1 on a die. Design an experiment to compare the probabilities. Define which one is theoretical and which one is an empirical probability? Explain.
(Essay)
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Is the following an example of theoretical probability or empirical probability? A survey was conducted to determine a group of elderly adults' favorite breeds of dogs. He concludes that the probability that the elderly adults prefer a poodle is about 30%.
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following information and Venn diagram to answer questions . A survey of 64 members of a UFO
club revealed the following information:
45 believe that we never landed on the moon
49 believe that they have been abducted by space aliens
42 believe both of these things
The Venn diagram below helps depict these data.
Let U be the set of people who were surveyed. Let E be the set of people who believe that we never landed on the
moon. Let A be the set of people who believe that they have been abducted by space aliens. Then we have the
following Venn diagram showing the relationship between sets E, A and U:
-How many believe neither of these things (that we never landed on the moon and that they have been abducted by space aliens)?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following table to answer questions . A random sample of college students was asked to respond
to a survey about how they spend their free time on a week night. One question, summarized in the table below,
asked each respondent to choose the one activity that they are most likely to participate in on a Wednesday
afternoon/evening. The activity choices were homework, housework, outside employment, recreation, or other.
-If one person is chosen randomly from the group, what is the probability that the student is female and working at outside employment on a Wednesday afternoon/evening? (round to the nearest thousandth)

(Essay)
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Use the following table to answer questions ). A random sample of adults was asked to respond to a
survey about whether they use their cell phones to shop for a specific item. One question, summarized in the table
below reflecting probabilities, asked each respondent to choose whether or not they use a cell phone app to shop.
The major age groupings were under 40 or 40 years or older.
-If one adult is randomly chosen from the group, what is the probability that the adult uses a cell phone app for shopping and is under 40 years of age?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following table to answer questions ). A random sample of adults was asked to respond to a
survey about whether they use their cell phones to shop for a specific item. One question, summarized in the table
below reflecting probabilities, asked each respondent to choose whether or not they use a cell phone app to shop.
The major age groupings were under 40 or 40 years or older.
-What type of probability is the 0.30 shown in the table?

(Multiple Choice)
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The Social Security Administration reported in 2014 that if you are a 70 year old man, there is a 65.8% chance of making it to your 80th birthday. What is the probability that you will die before reaching your 80th birthday? (round to the nearest hundredth place)
(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following table to answer questions . A random sample of college students was asked to respond
to a survey about how they spend their free time on a week night. One question, summarized in the table below,
asked each respondent to choose the one activity that they are most likely to participate in on a Wednesday
afternoon/evening. The activity choices were homework, housework, outside employment, recreation, or other.
-If one person is chosen randomly from the group, what is the probability that the person was male and doing housework on a Wednesday afternoon/evening? (round to the nearest thousandth)

(Essay)
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Use the following table to answer questions . A random sample of car buyers was asked to respond to asurvey about what was the most important quality of the car they purchased. This question is summarized in the table below. The important contributors were fuel efficiency, looks, manufacturer reputation, price or other.
-If one car buyer is randomly chosen from the group, what is the probability amongst female buyers that they chose "price" as their most important factor for the purchase?

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following table to answer questions ). A random sample of adults was asked to respond to a
survey about whether they use their cell phones to shop for a specific item. One question, summarized in the table
below reflecting probabilities, asked each respondent to choose whether or not they use a cell phone app to shop.
The major age groupings were under 40 or 40 years or older.
-Find the probability that an adult randomly chosen from the group uses a cell phone app to shop? (round to the nearest thousandth)

(Multiple Choice)
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Use the following information to answer questions . Suppose that the typical work schedule for the wait
staff at Sam's BBQ Shack, which is open seven days a week, is five days on with two days off each week. A
week begins on Monday and ends on Sunday. Assume that any day of the week is equally likely to be a day off
and the selection of a day off is independent.
-State the complement of the event given in question (5) and calculate the probability of the complement. Show your work and round to the nearest tenth of a percent.
(Essay)
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Use the following information to answer questions . Suppose that a recent poll of American households about
car ownership found that for households with a car, 39% owned a sedan, 33% owned a van, and 7% owned a sports
car. Suppose that three households are selected randomly and with replacement.
-What is the probability that at least one of the three randomly selected households own a sports car? (Round to the nearest thousandth)
(Multiple Choice)
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A multiple choice quiz contains five questions. Each question has four answer choices. Michael is not prepared for the quiz and decides to guess for each question. What is the probability that Michael will get at least one question correct? What is the probability that Michael will get all five questions correct? Show your work and round to the nearest thousandth.
(Essay)
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Describe why it is true that people are not good at identifying truly random samples so we need to rely on outside mechanisms. Give an example not mentioned in the text.
(Essay)
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