Exam 7: The Price System: Signals, Speculation, and Prediction

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When a consumer compares the price of a good to the value of that good, he or she is really comparing:

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The great economic problem is to increase our limited resources to satisfy as many of our infinite wants as possible.

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Perhaps the biggest sign of the accuracy of the HSX market is the sale of its data to Hollywood studios eager to improve their predictions about future blockbusters.

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Speculators who think that a war in the Middle East is likely will ______ oil futures, pushing ______ the futures price.

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Suppose that it is summer 2012 and President Obama is running for reelection. In the Iowa Electronic Markets, a share of Obama is selling for $0.54 and will give $1 if Obama wins the election. Market participants believe that Obama's probability of winning reelection is:

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Which of the following scenarios would cause a speculator in chicken and beef futures to use a ―buy low and sell high‖ strategy for chicken?

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Suppose that war in the Middle East reduces the supply of oil forcing the country to economize on oil. How should the central planner optimize the economic problem under this situation?

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Suppose speculators expect that the supply of oil will decrease next year and as a result, buy up oil today and put it into storage. This should cause the value of that oil to:

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  Reference: Ref 7-1 (Figure: Demand Curve) Refer to the figure. Which point on the graph represents the value of the good in its next highest valued use? Reference: Ref 7-1 (Figure: Demand Curve) Refer to the figure. Which point on the graph represents the value of the good in its next highest valued use?

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The market is effectively able to allocate goods to their highest valued uses because:

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If speculators expect that the future price of corn will be higher, they will cause today's price of corn to ________ and the future price of corn to be ________ than it would have been without speculation.

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Recall from the text that weather is a very important determinant for futures prices of orange juice. Using a supply and demand graph, explain why an expectation of bad weather in the future might cause futures prices to rise today.

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What happens in one particular market may have an effect on other markets.

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It is Valentine's Day in the United States, and you give your lover one dozen roses that were freshly picked 72 hours ago from the fields of Kenya. What made this gift possible?

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The Hollywood Stock Exchange is useful for:

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Brazil is the world's largest sugar cane producer and sugar cane can be used for producing sugar and fuel ethanol for automobiles. Which of the following sequence of events is correct?

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Can speculators who expect prices to rise actually cause those prices to rise in the short run?

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Speculators reduce price swings for goods, increasing society's welfare.

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Explain how speculation tends to smooth prices over time and increase welfare. Use the model of demand and supply to illustrate your explanation.

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Recently, economic engineers have begun to design ________ to increase the signal to noise ratio of ________.

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