Exam 10: Basic Regression Analysis With Time Series Data

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The model: Yt = The model: Y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>c<sub>t</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>, t = 1,2,……., n is an example of a(n): 0 + The model: Y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>c<sub>t</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>, t = 1,2,……., n is an example of a(n): 1ct + ut, t = 1,2,……., n is an example of a(n):

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B

Dummy variables can be used to address the problem of seasonality in regression models.

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Consider the following equation: Log(yt )= 0.7 + 1.2log(st ) + 0.3log(st-1) + 0.2log(st-2) + 0.1log(st-3) What is the percentage increase in y given a permanent 1% increase in s?

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Economic time series are outcomes of random variables.

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Which of the following correctly identifies a difference between cross-sectional data and time series data?

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If an explanatory variable is strictly exogenous it implies that:

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Which of the following is an assumption on which time series regression is based?

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The propensity δ0 + δ1+ … + δk is sometimes called the:​

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​When a series has the same average growth rate from period to period, then it can be approximated by an exponential trend.

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Adding a time trend can make an explanatory variable more significant if:

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Time series regression is based on series which exhibit serial correlation.

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A static model is postulated when:

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With base year 1990, the index of industrial production for the year 1999 is 112. What will be the value of the index in 1999, if the base year is changed to 1982 and the index measured 96 in 1982?

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​Which of the following rules out perfect collinearity among the regressors?

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A seasonally adjusted series is one which:

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Refer to the following model. yt = Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 0 + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 0st + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 1st-1 + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 2st-2 + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 3st-3 + ut Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 0 + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 1 + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 2 + Refer to the following model. y<sub>t</sub> =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>0</sub>s<sub>t</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>s<sub>t-1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub>s<sub>t-2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub>s<sub>t-3</sub> + u<sub>t</sub>   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub> +   <sub>2</sub> +   <sub>3</sub> represents: 3 represents:

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If If   <sub>1</sub> > 0, then y<sub>t </sub><sub>​</sub>in the linear function of time E(y<sub>t</sub>) =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>t displays a(n):​ 1 > 0, then yt in the linear function of time E(yt) = If   <sub>1</sub> > 0, then y<sub>t </sub><sub>​</sub>in the linear function of time E(y<sub>t</sub>) =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>t displays a(n):​ 0 + If   <sub>1</sub> > 0, then y<sub>t </sub><sub>​</sub>in the linear function of time E(y<sub>t</sub>) =   <sub>0</sub> +   <sub>1</sub>t displays a(n):​ 1t displays a(n):​

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Refer to the following model yt = Refer to the following model y<sub>t</sub> =   +   +   +   +   + ut<sub>.</sub> <sub> </sub> Given a permanent increase in s,   is the long-run propensity. + Refer to the following model y<sub>t</sub> =   +   +   +   +   + ut<sub>.</sub> <sub> </sub> Given a permanent increase in s,   is the long-run propensity. + Refer to the following model y<sub>t</sub> =   +   +   +   +   + ut<sub>.</sub> <sub> </sub> Given a permanent increase in s,   is the long-run propensity. + Refer to the following model y<sub>t</sub> =   +   +   +   +   + ut<sub>.</sub> <sub> </sub> Given a permanent increase in s,   is the long-run propensity. + Refer to the following model y<sub>t</sub> =   +   +   +   +   + ut<sub>.</sub> <sub> </sub> Given a permanent increase in s,   is the long-run propensity. + ut. Given a permanent increase in s, Refer to the following model y<sub>t</sub> =   +   +   +   +   + ut<sub>.</sub> <sub> </sub> Given a permanent increase in s,   is the long-run propensity. is the long-run propensity.

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In a static model, one or more explanatory variables affect the dependent variable with a lag.

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Supposed that you are interested in estimating country-level maternal mortality rate (mmrt) based just on the gross domestic product per capita (gdppct) and literacy rate (lrt) and you find that countries that have unusually high (for the given levels of gdppc and lr) mmr in one period also have unusually high mmr in the next period. Which of the following assumption for time series analysis does not hold?

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