Exam 2: Deterrence and Rational Choice Theories

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Discuss the various types of studies that have been conducted to test deterrence theory, and comment on the strengths and weaknesses of each approach. Conclude your answer by summarizing the overall findings of tests of the deterrence model.

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There have been several types of studies conducted to test deterrence theory, including experimental studies, observational studies, and meta-analyses.

Experimental studies involve creating controlled environments in which researchers can manipulate variables to test the effects of deterrence on behavior. These studies often use simulated scenarios or hypothetical situations to measure the impact of deterrence on decision-making. One strength of experimental studies is their ability to establish cause-and-effect relationships between deterrence and behavior. However, they may lack external validity and may not accurately reflect real-world behavior.

Observational studies, on the other hand, analyze real-world data to examine the relationship between deterrence and criminal behavior. These studies often use statistical methods to assess the impact of deterrence policies, such as the death penalty or mandatory sentencing, on crime rates. One strength of observational studies is their ability to capture real-world behavior, but they may be subject to confounding variables and biases in the data.

Meta-analyses involve synthesizing the results of multiple studies to provide a comprehensive overview of the evidence for deterrence theory. This approach allows researchers to identify patterns and trends across different studies and to assess the overall strength of the evidence. However, meta-analyses may be limited by the quality of the studies included and the potential for publication bias.

Overall, tests of the deterrence model have produced mixed findings. Some studies have found support for the deterrent effect of punishment on criminal behavior, while others have found little to no evidence of deterrence. The strength of the evidence varies depending on the type of study and the specific deterrence policy being examined. Additionally, the effectiveness of deterrence may depend on individual and situational factors, making it difficult to draw definitive conclusions about its overall impact on behavior.

What does Felson mean by "designing out crime" by individuals, neighborhoods, communities, and businesses? Provide examples.

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Felson's concept of "designing out crime" refers to the idea of creating environments and structures that discourage criminal behavior. This can be achieved at various levels, including by individuals, neighborhoods, communities, and businesses.

At the individual level, "designing out crime" may involve taking personal safety precautions, such as locking doors and windows, installing security systems, and being aware of one's surroundings. For example, an individual might choose to live in a well-lit apartment building with secure entry points to reduce the risk of burglary.

At the neighborhood and community level, "designing out crime" could involve implementing measures such as neighborhood watch programs, improving street lighting, and maintaining public spaces to discourage criminal activity. For instance, a community might work together to install security cameras in public areas or organize regular community clean-up events to reduce opportunities for crime.

Businesses can also contribute to "designing out crime" by implementing security measures such as surveillance cameras, alarm systems, and secure cash-handling procedures. Additionally, businesses can design their physical spaces in ways that discourage criminal behavior, such as using clear sightlines and minimizing hiding spots.

Overall, "designing out crime" involves creating environments that make it more difficult for criminal activity to occur, ultimately promoting safety and security for individuals, neighborhoods, communities, and businesses.

Research into the aftermath of Hurricane Andrew suggests that offenders are attracted to targets made vulnerable to crime.

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The "experiential effect" in deterrence research refers to the finding that experiencing legal sanctions prevents recidivism.

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Why is certainty so important in deterrence? Why is severity, and the fear that would accompany severe punishments, not enough to deter rational offenders?

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Recent evidence from research such as that by De Haan and Vos has found that robbers are motivated primarily by a rational goal of getting money and that non-rational and emotional motivations play little part in the decision to rob.

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While the research evidence provides weak support for deterrence theory, the outcome of such policies as mandated sentencing, longer prison terms, and boot camps over the past two decades has shown fairly clearly that deterrence works in practice.

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Anwar and Loughran demonstrated that the effects of subjective probabilities of punishment were crime specific.

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The practical implications of routine activities theory refer more to the everyday precautions people can take to avoid becoming crime victims than to formal criminal justice policy.

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Although the deterrence doctrine was stated by classical criminologists more than 200 years ago, research to test the deterrent effect of punishment on different types of offenses did not begin until the 1960s.

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The expected utility concept in rational choice theory of crime refers to behavior that has some utility for society.

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In what ways, if any, does rational choice theory represent a modification or expansion of classical deterrence theory?

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Modern research on deterrence theory has shown that criminal sanctions are correlated with a marginal deterrent effect on crime, but the correlations tend to be low.

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The Scared Straight approach has been successful in deterring at-risk youth from beginning or continuing delinquent and criminal careers.

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You have been named to a blue-ribbon criminal justice commission impanelled by the governor. The commission is to advise the governor regarding the advisability of lengthening the terms of incarceration associated with drug use/possession in an effort to deter people from using drugs. What sort of advice would you give? What evidence would you draw upon to support your position?

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Cohen and Felson explain trends in crime rates over time as a function of shifts in the time people spend in their homes, schools, workplaces, and leisure activities.

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Most research on capital punishment has found that the death penalty has little general deterrent effect on rates of homicide.

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The emphasis on informal control in recent work on routine activities theory by Felson clearly distinguishes it from the general sociological view and other criminological theories.

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The conclusion of weak deterrent effects of severity and certainty of legal penalties found in single studies has not been supported by results of later meta-analyses of the findings from many different studies.

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Research provides substantial evidence that good decision making skills are related to both perceptions of risk and the choice to offend.

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